Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Middlesbrough		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.81	3.2	2.61	Watch
	2.92	3.29	2.58
	2.95	3.21	2.42	Watch
	2.76	3.14	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.77)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	2.52 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
33.3%

Draw
29.3%

Ipswich Town
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.7%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	47.8%	30.4%

Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Ipswich will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ipswich (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Middlesbrough (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ipswich (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 5. Jones A. 6. Fry D. (C) 3. Targett M. 16. Browne A. 7. Hackney H. 11. Whittaker M. 9. Conway T. 10. Burgzorg D. 13. Strelec D.	1. Palmer A. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 12. Cajuste J. 5. Matusiwa A. 23. Szmodics S. 8. Egeli S. W. 11. Philogene J. 9. Hirst G.
Substitutes
12. Ayling L. 24. Bangura A. 27. Hansen S. 8. McGree R. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 18. Morris A. 19. Nypan S. 20. Sene M. K. 22. Silvera S.	29. Akpom Ch. 31. Azon I. 47. Clarke J. 24. Greaves J. 20. McAteer K. 32. Nunez M. 14. Taylor J. 28. Walton C. (G) 15. Young A.
Coaches
Edwards R.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Jones A. 🟨,
42', Brittain C. 🟨,
44', Hirst G. (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 0, Kipre C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 0, Whittaker M. ⚽,
67', Hirst G. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
67', Szmodics S. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
67', Cajuste J. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
67', Egeli S. W. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
69', Whittaker M. ↓, Morris A. ↑,
69', Strelec D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, O'Shea D. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
78', Matusiwa A. 🟨,
82', Conway T. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
83', Sene M. K. 🟨,
84', Matusiwa A. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
87', Burgzorg D. ↓, Ayling L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2.

Middlesbrough has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ipswich is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: McGree R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Ayinde L. (Injury) Burns W. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
04.10.25	Portsmouth - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
30.09.25	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Southampton - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Preston North End - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWT
- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
05.10.25	Ipswich Town - Norwich City	3:1 ✺
30.09.25	Bristol City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Ipswich Town - Sheffield United	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ipswich Town - Derby County	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.04.24	Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough	1:1
09.12.23	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	0:2
29.12.18	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	2:0
02.10.18	Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough	0:2
06.05.18	Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough	2:2
09.12.17	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	2:0
23.04.16	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	0:0

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