Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports
Armenia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Azerbaijan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Sports MAX 10
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	03:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	14:00	Disney+, Fox Sports
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV4
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	03:00	mio Sports 1
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Football, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Exxen
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter


	Middlesbrough		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.81	3.2	2.61	Watch
	2.92	3.29	2.58
	2.95	3.21	2.42	Watch
	2.76	3.14	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.77)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	2.52 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
33.3%

Draw
29.3%

Ipswich Town
37.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.7%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	47.8%	30.4%

Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Ipswich will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ipswich (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Middlesbrough (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ipswich (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 5. Jones A. 6. Fry D. (C) 3. Targett M. 16. Browne A. 7. Hackney H. 11. Whittaker M. 9. Conway T. 10. Burgzorg D. 13. Strelec D.	1. Palmer A. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 12. Cajuste J. 5. Matusiwa A. 23. Szmodics S. 8. Egeli S. W. 11. Philogene J. 9. Hirst G.
Substitutes
12. Ayling L. 24. Bangura A. 27. Hansen S. 8. McGree R. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 18. Morris A. 19. Nypan S. 20. Sene M. K. 22. Silvera S.	29. Akpom Ch. 31. Azon I. 47. Clarke J. 24. Greaves J. 20. McAteer K. 32. Nunez M. 14. Taylor J. 28. Walton C. (G) 15. Young A.
Coaches
Edwards R.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Jones A. 🟨,
42', Brittain C. 🟨,
44', Hirst G. (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 0, Kipre C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 0, Whittaker M. ⚽,
67', Hirst G. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
67', Szmodics S. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
67', Cajuste J. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
67', Egeli S. W. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
69', Whittaker M. ↓, Morris A. ↑,
69', Strelec D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, O'Shea D. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
78', Matusiwa A. 🟨,
82', Conway T. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
83', Sene M. K. 🟨,
84', Matusiwa A. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
87', Burgzorg D. ↓, Ayling L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2.

Middlesbrough has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ipswich is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: McGree R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Ayinde L. (Injury) Burns W. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
04.10.25	Portsmouth - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
30.09.25	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Southampton - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Preston North End - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWT
- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
05.10.25	Ipswich Town - Norwich City	3:1 ✺
30.09.25	Bristol City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Ipswich Town - Sheffield United	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ipswich Town - Derby County	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.04.24	Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough	1:1
09.12.23	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	0:2
29.12.18	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	2:0
02.10.18	Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough	0:2
06.05.18	Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough	2:2
09.12.17	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	2:0
23.04.16	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	0:0

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