Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 20

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elland Road (Leeds) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Hungary	21:00	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	21:00	Sporty TV
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV2
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Turkey	23:00	Exxen
Ukraine	22:00	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
International	20:00	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Leeds United		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.5
	1.76	3.69	4.67	Watch
	1.78	3.74	4.8
	1.75	3.74	4.69	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.6
	1.75	3.88	4.49	Watch
	1.76	3.69	4.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	3.76 ↓ (3.78)	4.62 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
54.3%

Draw
25.2%

Middlesbrough
20.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

24.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.4%	14%	4.7%

Leeds United - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (35 of 43 users predict this - 81.4%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.77% – 93.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meslier I. (G) 25. Byram S. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 39. Wober M. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Rothwell J. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 29. Gnonto W. 19. Joseph M.	1. Dieng S. (G) 15. Dijksteel A. 25. Edmundson G. 5. Clarke M. 30. Neto Borges 4. Barlaser D. 7. Hackney H. (C) 50. Doak B. 20. Azaz F. 8. McGree R. 9. Latte Lath E.
Substitutes
4. Ampadu E. 9. Bamford P. 50. Crew C. 26. Darlow K. (G) 23. Guilavogui J. 10. Piroe J. 17. Ramazani L. 33. Schmidt I. 14. Solomon M.	12. Ayling L. 31. Brynn S. (G) 10. Burgzorg D. 22. Conway T. 14. Gilbert A. 17. Hamilton M. 16. Howson J. 11. Jones I. 37. McCormick G.
Coaches
Farke D.	Carrick M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gnonto W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Wober M. (Own goal),
69', Gnonto W. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
69', Joseph M. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
71', Edmundson G. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, James D. ⚽, Piroe J. (A),
80', Dijksteel A. 🟨,
81', McGree R. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
82', Azaz F. ↓, Conway T. ↑,
85', Byram S. ↓, Ampadu E. ↑,
89', Wober M. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Aaronson B. ⚽, Tanaka A. (A),
90+4', James D. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
90+4', Rothwell J. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 4.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Middlesbrough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Gelhardt J. (Hip Injury) Gruev I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Morris A. (Muscle Injury) Smith T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: van den Berg R. (Leg Injury)

Our prediction for today's Leeds to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Leeds won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Championship
07.12.24	Leeds United - Derby County	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Blackburn Rovers - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Leeds United - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	Swansea City - Leeds United	3:4 ✺
09.11.24	Leeds United - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
06.12.24	Burnley - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Middlesbrough - Hull City	3:1 ✺
27.11.24	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Oxford United - Middlesbrough	2:6 ✺
09.11.24	Middlesbrough - Luton Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
14.08.24	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	0:3
English League Championship
22.04.24	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	3:4
02.12.23	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	3:2
26.02.20	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	0:1
30.11.19	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	4:0
09.02.19	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	1:1
31.08.18	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	0:0

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