Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 20

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leeds United		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.5
	1.76	3.69	4.67	Watch
	1.78	3.74	4.8
	1.75	3.74	4.69	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.6
	1.75	3.88	4.49	Watch
	1.76	3.69	4.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	3.76 ↓ (3.78)	4.62 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
54.3%

Draw
25.2%

Middlesbrough
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

24.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.4%	14%	4.7%

Leeds United - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (35 of 43 users predict this - 81.4%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.77% – 93.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meslier I. (G) 25. Byram S. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 39. Wober M. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Rothwell J. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 29. Gnonto W. 19. Joseph M.	1. Dieng S. (G) 15. Dijksteel A. 25. Edmundson G. 5. Clarke M. 30. Neto Borges 4. Barlaser D. 7. Hackney H. (C) 50. Doak B. 20. Azaz F. 8. McGree R. 9. Latte Lath E.
Substitutes
4. Ampadu E. 9. Bamford P. 50. Crew C. 26. Darlow K. (G) 23. Guilavogui J. 10. Piroe J. 17. Ramazani L. 33. Schmidt I. 14. Solomon M.	12. Ayling L. 31. Brynn S. (G) 10. Burgzorg D. 22. Conway T. 14. Gilbert A. 17. Hamilton M. 16. Howson J. 11. Jones I. 37. McCormick G.
Coaches
Farke D.	Carrick M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gnonto W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Wober M. (Own goal),
69', Gnonto W. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
69', Joseph M. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
71', Edmundson G. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, James D. ⚽, Piroe J. (A),
80', Dijksteel A. 🟨,
81', McGree R. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
82', Azaz F. ↓, Conway T. ↑,
85', Byram S. ↓, Ampadu E. ↑,
89', Wober M. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Aaronson B. ⚽, Tanaka A. (A),
90+4', James D. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
90+4', Rothwell J. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 4.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Middlesbrough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Gelhardt J. (Hip Injury) Gruev I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Morris A. (Muscle Injury) Smith T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: van den Berg R. (Leg Injury)

Our prediction for today's Leeds to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Leeds won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Championship
07.12.24	Leeds United - Derby County	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Blackburn Rovers - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Leeds United - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	Swansea City - Leeds United	3:4 ✺
09.11.24	Leeds United - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
06.12.24	Burnley - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Middlesbrough - Hull City	3:1 ✺
27.11.24	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Oxford United - Middlesbrough	2:6 ✺
09.11.24	Middlesbrough - Luton Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
14.08.24	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	0:3
English League Championship
22.04.24	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	3:4
02.12.23	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	3:2
26.02.20	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	0:1
30.11.19	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	4:0
09.02.19	Middlesbrough - Leeds United	1:1
31.08.18	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	0:0

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