Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 27

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
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Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Leeds United		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7.75
	1.4	4.9	7.31	Watch
	1.41	4.79	7.54	Watch
	1.4	4.6	7.5
	1.43	5.13	7.44	Watch
	1.4	4.9	7.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.36)	4.87 ↓ (4.95)	7.41 ↓ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
67.6%

Draw
19.5%

Sheffield Wednesday
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

19.1%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

18.7%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	17.4%	17.4%

Leeds United - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. 6. Rodon J. 25. Byram S. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Rothwell J. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.	1. Beadle J. (G) 27. Valery Y. 20. Ihiekwe M. 5. Bernard D. 3. Lowe M. 10. Bannan B. (C) 44. Charles S. 45. Musaba A. 41. Gassama D. 8. Ingelsson S. 11. Windass J.
Substitutes
26. Darlow K. (G) 3. Firpo J. 29. Gnonto W. 44. Gruev I. 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 17. Ramazani L. 33. Schmidt I. 39. Wober M.	47. Charles P. (G) 18. Johnson M. 19. Kobacki O. 9. Lowe J. 33. Otegbayo G. 2. Palmer L. 13. Paterson C. 12. Ugbo I. 14. Valentin P.
Coaches
Farke D.	Rohl D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Solomon M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Ingelsson S. ↓, Johnson M. ↑,
64', Charles S. 🟨,
68', Bogle J. 🟨,
70', Rothwell J. ↓, Gruev I. ↑,
70', Piroe J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
70', Ihiekwe M. ↓, Valentin P. ↑,
79', Musaba A. ↓, Paterson C. ↑,
80', Windass J. ↓, Ugbo I. ↑,
83', James D. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
83', Solomon M. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Ramazani L. ⚽,
90', Aaronson B. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
90+3', Bernard D. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 0, Tanaka A. ⚽, Ramazani L. (A),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 2.

Leeds is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sheff Wed is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Leeds is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leeds to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Leeds won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:22 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leeds United - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.25	Hull City - Leeds United	3:3 ✺
01.01.25	Leeds United - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Derby County - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Stoke City - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTWW
- Sheffield Wednesday
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Coventry City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Championship
04.01.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Millwall	2:2 ✺
01.01.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County	4:2 ✺
29.12.24	Preston North End - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Middlesbrough - Sheffield Wednesday	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
23.08.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Leeds United	0:2
08.03.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Leeds United	0:2
02.09.23	Leeds United - Sheffield Wednesday	0:0
11.01.20	Leeds United - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2
26.10.19	Sheffield Wednesday - Leeds United	0:0
13.04.19	Leeds United - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0
28.09.18	Sheffield Wednesday - Leeds United	1:1

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