Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 17

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max


	Leganés		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.85	2.95	4.6
	1.9	3	4.75	Watch
	1.91	3.23	5.3
	1.89	3.23	5.23
	1.83	3.2	4.9	Watch
	1.91	3.05	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.95)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	4.88 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
50.2%

Draw
30.4%

Ferrol
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

29.4%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

28.9%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Leganés - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: Leganés will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Alcoado D. J. C. (G) 21. Miramon 22. Arambarri A. 3. Saenz J. 6. Gonzalez S. 15. Franquesa E. 7. Portillo F. 17. Neyou Y. 23. Djouahra N. 10. Raba D. 9. de la Fuente M.	25. Cantero A. (G) 24. Cubero S. 5. Clemente E. 15. Castro D. 21. Moi 6. Bernal J. 10. Sene J. 23. Vicente C. 22. Losada I. 14. Vadillo A. 20. Gimenez A.
Substitutes
33. Aguilar Lopez G. 36. Alvin (G) 24. Chicco J. 19. Garcia D. 27. Garcia N. 1. Jimenez D. (G) 5. Josema 2. Nyom A. 11. Poveda D. 28. Urena O.	2. Delmas J. 13. Emilio (G) 4. Garcia H. J. 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 9. Justo M. 8. Lopez A. 16. Manzanara F. 11. Nacho 19. Sabin
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Parralo C.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 7).

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Ferrol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leganés will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
17.11.23	Valladolid - Leganés	1:1 ✺
10.11.23	Leganés - Levante	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Cartagena - Leganés	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Llerenense - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Leganés - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
19.11.23	Ferrol - Burgos	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Mirandés - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Ferrol - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Marbella - Ferrol	1:3 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWWW

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