Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Legia Warsaw		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6	Watch
	1.48	4.4	6	Watch
	1.49	4.5	5.6
	1.5	4.82	6.21
	1.47	4.4	6	Watch
	1.49	4.65	6.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.48)	4.55 ↑ (4.39)	5.99 ↓ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
63.6%

Draw
20.7%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.5%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

12.8%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.8%	4.8%	40.5%

Legia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 23 - 54.8%). Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 17 - 40.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 39.7% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Legia is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Champions League (Qualification)

Legia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Podbeskidzie is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Podbeskidzie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Legia is certain favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Legia won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.05.21	Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
01.05.21	Legia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	0:0 ✺
25.04.21	Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
21.04.21	Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWWT
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.05.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
03.05.21	Piast Gliwice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
23.04.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lech Poznań	1:0 ✺
20.04.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:3 ✺
16.04.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
31.01.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Legia Warsaw	1:0
29.11.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Legia Warsaw	2:2
26.07.15	Legia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	5:0
Polish Cup
08.04.15	Legia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0
01.04.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Legia Warsaw	1:4
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.03.15	Legia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0
31.08.14	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Legia Warsaw	2:1

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