Match Info

Date: 3 May 2021, Monday


	Piast Gliwice		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.45	4.5	Watch
	1.89	3.4	4
	1.93	3.59	4.3
	1.88	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.52	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	4.27 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Gliwice
50.7%

Draw
27.2%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.3%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

17.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Gliwice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	3.7%	11.2%

Piast Gliwice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: Piast Gliwice will win (68 of 80 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.18% – 92.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation to Division 1).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Piast is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Piast won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Piast won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.04.21	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	2:2 ✺
21.04.21	Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
17.04.21	Lechia Gdańsk - Piast Gliwice	2:2 ✺
12.04.21	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Zabrze	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
07.04.21	Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTWL
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.04.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lech Poznań	1:0 ✺
20.04.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:3 ✺
16.04.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
11.04.21	Zagłębie Lubin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
05.04.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
11.12.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Piast Gliwice	0:5
Club Friendly
07.07.18	Piast Gliwice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.03.16	Piast Gliwice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:2
17.10.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Piast Gliwice	2:2
24.05.15	Piast Gliwice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1
26.04.15	Piast Gliwice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0
Polish Cup
19.03.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Piast Gliwice	1:0

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