The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Legia Warsaw 68.2%
Draw 18.7%
Termalica Nieciecza 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.6%
20.6%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
16%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Legia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Legia Warsaw will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 91. Piatkowski K. 44. Szymanski D. 3. Kapuadi S. 7. Wszolek P. (C) 22. Elitim J. 82. Urbanski K. 19. Vinagre R. 77. Krasniqi E. 14. Colak A. 53. Urbanski W.
1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 2. Kopacz B. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 21. Hilbrycht D. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 13. Kubica K. 6. Wolski M. 7. Fassbender M. 26. Jakubik W. 25. Zapolnik K. (C)
Substitutes
8. Augustyniak R. 11. Chodyna K. 5. Goncalves C. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 67. Kapustka B. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 29. Rajovic M. 30. Stojanovic P. 99. Weisshaupt N. 20. Zewlakow J.
17. Biniek D. 27. Boboc R. 35. Deisadze D. 23. Guerrero S. 9. Jimenez J. 8. Kurzawa R. 5. Masoero L. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 77. Putivtsev A. 53. Trubeha A.
Coaches
Astiz I.
Brosz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Kubica K. ⚽, Kasperkiewicz A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fassbender M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
46', Jakubik W. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
54', Elitim J. 🟨,
57', Elitim J. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
57', Szymanski D. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
58', Zapolnik K. 🟨,
62', Kopacz B. 🟨,
65', Urbanski W. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
65', Colak A. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
66', Kubica K. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
66', Zapolnik K. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
67', Guerrero S. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Krasniqi E. ⚽,
79', Kurzawa R. 🟨,
83', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
89', Urbanski K. ↓, Jedrzejczyk A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Trubeha A. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
Recent performances by Legia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Termalica is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Termalica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Legia is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H.
(Muscle Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Reca A.
(Injury)
Weisshaupt N.
(Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Legia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 3:0.6).
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Tobiasz K. (G) 
Kapuadi S. 
Elitim J. 
Vinagre R. 
Krasniqi E. 
Colak A. 
Chovan A. (G) 
Isik G. 
Rajovic M. 
Stojanovic P. 
Boboc R. 
Deisadze D. 
Guerrero S. 
Masoero L. 
Putivtsev A. 
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