What is the expert prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Leicester City?

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Tottenham Hotspur vs Leicester City Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, January 26, 2025)

Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 23

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CTN
Canada	fubo Sports Network 2 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Premier League, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
Moldova	ICE TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Tottenham Hotspur		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.8	5.25
	1.53	5.09	5.95
				Watch
	1.5	4.8	5
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	4.9 ↓ (5)	5.4 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
62.9%

Draw
19.5%

Leicester City
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

18.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

17.9%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 40 - 78.4%). Leicester will win (votes: 8 - 15.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 67.1% – 89.7%.

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kinsky A. (G) 23. Porro P. 6. Dragusin R. 33. Davies B. 14. Gray A. 15. Bergvall L. 30. Bentancur R. 29. Sarr P. M. 21. Kulusevski D. 9. Richarlison 7. Son Heung-Min (C)	41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 16. Kristiansen V. 8. Winks H. 24. Soumare B. 18. Ayew J. 11. El Khannouss B. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 9. Vardy J. (C)
Substitutes
63. Ajayi O. 40. Austin B. (G) 8. Bissouma Y. 42. Lankshear W. 47. Moore M. 64. Olusesi C. 3. Reguilon S. 18. Yang Min-Hyuk	40. Buonanotte F. 4. Coady C. 25. Coulibaly W. 20. Daka P. 31. Iversen D. (G) 10. Mavididi S. 35. McAteer K. 5. Okoli C. 22. Skipp O.
Coaches
Postecoglou A.	van Nistelrooy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Richarlison ⚽, Porro P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, Vardy J. ⚽, De Cordova-Reid B. (A),
50', 1 - 2, El Khannouss B. ⚽, De Cordova-Reid B. (A),
54', Richarlison ↓, Moore M. ↑,
54', Sarr P. M. ↓, Reguilon S. ↑,
61', De Cordova-Reid B. 🟨,
69', Reguilon S. 🟨,
71', Justin J. 🟨,
75', Winks H. 🟨,
77', El Khannouss B. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
77', Vardy J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
78', Buonanotte F. 🟨,
82', Stolarczyk J. 🟨,
86', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
87', Ayew J. ↓, Coady C. ↑,
90+4', Gray A. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
90+4', Justin J. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 3.

Recent matches Tottenham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leicester is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leicester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tottenham have a series of guest games.

Recently Leicester have a series of home games.

In this match Tottenham is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Tottenham: Johnson B. (Calf Injury) Odobert W. (Thigh Injury) Solanke D. (Knee Injury) Udogie D. (Thigh Injury) Vicario G. (Broken ankle) Werner T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Hermansen M. (Muscle Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Bissouma Y. (Calf Injury) Romero C. (Thigh Injury) Sarr P. M. (Knock) Spence D. (Knock) van de Ven M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Ndidi W. (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 45:29 (average 2.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Tottenham won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:14 (average 2.3:1.4).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Hoffenheim - Tottenham Hotspur	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
19.01.25	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
15.01.25	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Tamworth - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ET ✺
English League Cup
08.01.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLWW
- Leicester City
English Premier League
18.01.25	Leicester City - Fulham	0:2 ✺
15.01.25	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	6:2 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Aston Villa - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
19.08.24	Leicester City - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	Canceled
English Premier League
11.02.23	Leicester City - Tottenham Hotspur	4:1
17.09.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	6:2
01.05.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	3:1
19.01.22	Leicester City - Tottenham Hotspur	2:3
23.05.21	Leicester City - Tottenham Hotspur	2:4

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