Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Grandstand ROA
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, FuboTV
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport 7
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
Hungary	Spiler1 TV
Iceland	Siminn Sport 5, Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	U-NEXT
Malaysia	Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 3
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports 2
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport 8
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
Usa	FuboTV, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Leicester City		Everton

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.4
	2.15	3.4	3.4
	2.2	3.45	3.5
	2.19	3.47	3.55
	2.17	3.46	3.55	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.4
	2.17	3.54	3.54	Watch
	2.2	3.45	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.44)	3.45 ↓ (3.51)	3.48 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
44.2%

Draw
28%

Everton
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.4%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.1%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Everton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leicester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Everton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.5%	33.3%	18.2%

Leicester City - Everton Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 16 - 50%). Everton will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 32.7% – 67.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 5. Okoli C. 16. Kristiansen V. 8. Winks H. 6. Ndidi W. 18. Ayew J. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	1. Pickford J. (G) 37. Garner J. 5. Keane M. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 18. Young A. 8. Mangala O. 16. Doucoure A. 29. Lindstrom J. 10. Ndiaye I. 7. McNeil D. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.
Substitutes
40. Buonanotte F. 17. Choudhury H. 4. Coady C. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 29. Edouard O. 7. Fatawu I. 21. Pereira R. 22. Skipp O. 1. Ward D. (G)	45. Armstrong H. 31. Begovic A. (G) 14. Beto 75. Dixon R. 11. Harrison J. 42. Iroegbunam T. 15. O'Brien J. 12. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Cooper S.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ndiaye I. ⚽, Young A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Keane M. 🟨,
56', El Khannouss B. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
61', Lindstrom J. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Mavididi S. ⚽, Winks H. (A),
77', Buonanotte F. 🟨,
80', Garner J. 🟨,
81', Ndiaye I. ↓, Iroegbunam T. ↑,
83', Vardy J. ↓, Edouard O. ↑,
90', Mavididi S. ↓, Fatawu I. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 1.

Recent matches Leicester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Everton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leicester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Leicester: Daka P. (Ankle Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Stolarczyk J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Broja A. (Calf Injury) Chermiti (Ankle Injury) Gueye I. (Injury) Patterson N. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Groin Injury) Coleman S. (Calf Injury) Garner J. (Illness) Keane M. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leicester won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
14.09.24	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Leicester City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Leicester City - Tranmere Rovers	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.24	Fulham - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Leicester City - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWLT
- Everton
English League Cup
17.09.24	Everton - Southampton	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
14.09.24	Aston Villa - Everton	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Everton - Bournemouth	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Everton - Doncaster Rovers	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.05.23	Leicester City - Everton	2:2
05.11.22	Everton - Leicester City	0:2
08.05.22	Leicester City - Everton	1:2
20.04.22	Everton - Leicester City	1:1
27.01.21	Everton - Leicester City	1:1
16.12.20	Leicester City - Everton	0:2
01.07.20	Everton - Leicester City	2:1

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