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Aston Villa - Everton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 22
  • Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday
  • Location: Villa Park (Birmingham)
  • Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Aston Villa Everton
    Aston Villa Everton
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.61 ↓
    (1.67)    		 4.02 ↑
    (3.84)    		 5.69 ↑
    (5.07)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Aston Villa
    59.4%    		Draw
    23.8%    		Everton
    16.8%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    56.6% 24.7% 18.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    58.1% 24.1% 18.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    85.5% 5.5% 9.1%

    Aston Villa - Everton Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Everton (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Aston Villa (1.18) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • EH +1 - Everton (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Everton (3.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
  • Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (92 of 107 users predict this - 85.98%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.4% – 92.56%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (35 of 36 users predict this - 97.22%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 36 - 85.7%). Everton (votes: 5 - 11.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.4%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    23. ArgentinaMartinez E. (G)
      2. PolandCash M.
      4. EnglandKonsa E.
    14. SpainTorres P.
    22. NetherlandsMaatsen I.
    26. NetherlandsBogarde L.
      8. BelgiumTielemans Y.
      7. ScotlandMcGinn J. (C)
    27. EnglandRogers M.
    10. ArgentinaBuendia E.
    11. EnglandWatkins O.
    		  1. EnglandPickford J. (G)
      2. ScotlandPatterson N.
      6. EnglandTarkowski J. (C)
    15. IrelandO'Brien J.
    16. UkraineMykolenko V.
    34. GermanyRohl M.
    37. EnglandGarner J.
      7. EnglandMcNeil D.
    45. EnglandArmstrong H.
    18. EnglandGrealish J.
    11. FranceBarry T.
    Substitutes
    40. NetherlandsBizot M. (G)
    12. FranceDigne L.
    16. SpainGarcia A.
    29. IvoryGuessand E.
    53. EnglandHemmings G.
    20. EnglandJimoh-Aloba J.
      3. SwedenLindelof V.
      5. EnglandMings T.
    64. EnglandWright J. (G)
    		39. MoroccoAznou A.
      9. Guinea-BissauBeto
    73. EnglandCampbell E.
    23. IrelandColeman S.
    20. EnglandDibling T.
    31. WalesKing T. (G)
    12. IrelandTravers M. (G)
    64. EnglandWelch R.
    Coaches
         SpainEmery U.
    		     ScotlandMoyes D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 18', McGinn J. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
    • 23', McNeil D. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 47', Garner J. 🟨,
    • 56', Bogarde L. 🟨,
    • 59', 0 - 1, Barry T. ⚽,
    • 73', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
    • 73', Bogarde L. ↓, Hemmings G. ↑,
    • 84', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,

    Preview

  • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
  • Aston Villa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Everton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Injury) Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Injury) Onana A. (Injury)
  • There will not play in Everton: Alcaraz C. (Injury) Coleman S. (Hamstring Injury) Dewsbury-Hall K. (Hamstring Injury) Gueye I. (International duty) Iroegbunam T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Keane M. (Red Card) Ndiaye I. (International duty)
  • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Martinez E. (Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

    • Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Aston Villa: 0.7% Everton: 0.44%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Everton52306:339
    16Aston Villa51134:9-54

    Last Results with these Odds

    Aston Villa - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.62%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Aston Villa
    English FA Cup
    10.01.26 Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺
    English Premier League
    07.01.26 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 0:0 ✺
    03.01.26 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 3:1 ✺
    30.12.25 Arsenal - Aston Villa 4:1 ✺
    27.12.25 Chelsea - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4
    WTWLW
    - Everton
    English FA Cup
    10.01.26 Everton - Sunderland 1:2 penalties ✺
    English Premier League
    07.01.26 Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1 ✺
    04.01.26 Everton - Brentford 2:4 ✺
    30.12.25 Nottingham Forest - Everton 0:2 ✺
    27.12.25 Burnley - Everton 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8
    LTLWT
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    13.09.25 Everton - Aston Villa 0:0
    15.01.25 Everton - Aston Villa 0:1
    14.09.24 Aston Villa - Everton 3:2
    14.01.24 Everton - Aston Villa 0:0
    English League Cup
    27.09.23 Aston Villa - Everton 1:2
    English Premier League
    20.08.23 Aston Villa - Everton 4:0
    25.02.23 Everton - Aston Villa 0:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Aston Villa
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 Aston Villa - Fenerbahçe ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Aston Villa - Brentford ✺
    - Everton
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Hull City - Everton ✺

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