What is the expert prediction for Aston Villa vs Everton?

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Aston Villa vs Everton Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, January 18, 2026)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport Arena
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24 At Sea


	Aston Villa		Everton

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	6
	1.62	4.05	5.7
	1.62	4.17	5.77	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5
	1.64	4.22	5.89	Watch
	1.6	4	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	4.02 ↑ (3.84)	5.69 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
59.4%

Draw
23.8%

Everton
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.7%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.5%	5.5%	9.1%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Everton (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Aston Villa (1.18) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH -1 - Everton (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Everton (3.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (92 of 107 users predict this - 85.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.4% – 92.56%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (35 of 36 users predict this - 97.22%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 51 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 38 - 74.5%). Everton (votes: 12 - 23.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 22. Maatsen I. 26. Bogarde L. 8. Tielemans Y. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 10. Buendia E. 11. Watkins O.	1. Pickford J. (G) 2. Patterson N. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 15. O'Brien J. 16. Mykolenko V. 34. Rohl M. 37. Garner J. 7. McNeil D. 45. Armstrong H. 18. Grealish J. 11. Barry T.
Substitutes
40. Bizot M. (G) 12. Digne L. 16. Garcia A. 29. Guessand E. 53. Hemmings G. 20. Jimoh-Aloba J. 3. Lindelof V. 5. Mings T. 64. Wright J. (G)	39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 73. Campbell E. 23. Coleman S. 20. Dibling T. 31. King T. (G) 12. Travers M. (G) 64. Welch R.
Coaches
Emery U.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', McGinn J. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
23', McNeil D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Garner J. 🟨,
56', Bogarde L. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Barry T. ⚽,
73', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
73', Bogarde L. ↓, Hemmings G. ↑,
84', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.

Aston Villa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Everton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.

In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Injury) Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Injury) Onana A. (Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Alcaraz C. (Injury) Coleman S. (Hamstring Injury) Dewsbury-Hall K. (Hamstring Injury) Gueye I. (International duty) Iroegbunam T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Keane M. (Red Card) Ndiaye I. (International duty)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Martinez E. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aston Villa	38	19	8	11	56:49	7	65
13	Everton	38	13	10	15	47:50	-3	49

Last Results with these Odds

Aston Villa - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.62%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Arsenal - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
27.12.25	Chelsea - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWLW
- Everton
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Everton - Sunderland	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Everton - Brentford	2:4 ✺
30.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Burnley - Everton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.09.25	Everton - Aston Villa	0:0
15.01.25	Everton - Aston Villa	0:1
14.09.24	Aston Villa - Everton	3:2
14.01.24	Everton - Aston Villa	0:0
English League Cup
27.09.23	Aston Villa - Everton	1:2
English Premier League
20.08.23	Aston Villa - Everton	4:0
25.02.23	Everton - Aston Villa	0:2

Aston Villa - Everton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide