The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leicester City 67.7%
Draw 19.1%
Wigan Athletic 13.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.8%
22.8%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
21.7%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leicester City's performance.
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leicester City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.6%
14.3%
7.1%
Leicester City - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Leicester City will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. McCarthy A. (G) 16. O'Hora W. 15. Souttar H. 5. Okoli C. 37. Alves W. 12. Smallbone W. 25. Page L. 33. Thomas L. 8. Chaplin C. (C) 27. Doyle K. 17. Riis E.
41. Whitworth J. (G) 2. Barrett C. 4. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 23. Carragher J. 5. Burns F. 21. Miller K. 6. Weir J. (C) 10. Walsh R. 27. Burrowes B. 11. Costelloe D. 25. Hogan S.
Substitutes
36. Braybrooke S. 7. Burns W. 11. Cullen L. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 20. Howell H. 24. Kangasniemi I. 21. Ravizzoli F. (G)
3. Fox M. 55. Greenhalgh R. 17. Higgins A. 22. Mellish J. 38. Saydee C. 19. Sze C. 1. Walsh J. (G)
Coaches
Martin R.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Walsh R. 🟨,
6', Smallbone W. 🟨,
9', Chilokoa-Mullen J. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Riis E. ⚽,
28', Miller K. 🟨,
32', Chilokoa-Mullen J. ↓, Fox M. ↑,
40', Okoli C. 🟨,
45+1', Thomas L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', O'Hora W. 🟨,
58', Costelloe D. ↓, Sze C. ↑,
60', Chaplin C. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
61', Smallbone W. ↓, Braybrooke S. ↑,
61', Burns F. 🟨,
67', 2 - 0, Riis E. ⚽, Thomas L. (A),
68', Hogan S. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
68', Miller K. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
69', Burns F. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
76', Alves W. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
84', Riis E. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
84', Page L. ↓, Kangasniemi I. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, De Cordova-Reid B. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 24th in the Relegation - League Two).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
The betting markets point to Leicester as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Confirmed absences for Leicester: Joseph J.
(Inactive)
Lundstram J.
(Red Card)
Nelson B.
(Knee Injury)
Stolarczyk J.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Wigan: Gray C.
(Yellow Cards)
Harris L.
(Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Leicester: McFarlane C.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Wigan: Power M.
(Inactive).
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Leicester has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leicester against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).
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McCarthy A. (G) 
O'Hora W. 
Souttar H. 
Okoli C. 
Riis E. 
Chilokoa-Mullen J. 
Carragher J. 
Burns W. 
De Cordova-Reid B. 
Kangasniemi I. 
Ravizzoli F. (G) 
