Match Info

Date: 23 December 2020, Wednesday


	Leiria		Gil Vicente

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.61
	5	3.6	1.67
	4.7	3.6	1.65
	4.7	3.45	1.67
	5.22	3.51	1.69
	5	3.6	1.65
	4.9	3.8	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↓ (4.9)	3.59 ↓ (3.82)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
18.9%

Draw
25.6%

Gil Vicente
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.1%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

13.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gil Vicente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leiria - Gil Vicente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Leiria in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gil Vicente is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gil Vicente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gil Vicente is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.12.20	Mortágua - Leiria	0:1 ✺
30.11.20	Vitória de Sernache - Leiria	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.11.20	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.11.20	Leiria - Carapinheirense	3:1 ✺
06.11.20	Marinhense - Leiria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWWWT
- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
20.12.20	Gil Vicente - Benfica	0:2 ✺
05.12.20	Moreirense - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Gil Vicente - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.11.20	Oleiros - Gil Vicente	0:1 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
08.11.20	Nacional - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
06.04.12	Leiria - Gil Vicente	0:0

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