Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport


	Nacional		Gil Vicente

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.85
	2.72	2.78	2.92
	2.82	2.98	3.03
	2.76	2.58	3.19	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8	Watch
	2.81	2.88	2.84	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.51)	2.92 ↓ (3.18)	2.93 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
35.5%

Draw
32.3%

Gil Vicente
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	41.7%	0%

Nacional - Gil Vicente Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 4. Ulisses 34. Leo Santos 5. Jose Gomes 28. Liziero 6. Matheus Dias 22. Soares F. 11. Paulinho Boia 9. Ramirez J. 7. Witi	42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 20. Hevertton S. 39. Buatu J. (C) 4. Elimbi M. G. 3. Konan G. 5. Caseres F. 8. Bamba M. A. 17. Bermejo 10. Esteves L. 32. Fernandez M. 9. Pablo
Substitutes
33. Goncalves C. 48. Josue 20. Jota Garces 1. Kaique Pereira (G) 16. Nunez A. 26. Silva J. 18. Sousa A. 24. Vallier L. 30. Watts	16. Beleza G. 48. Espigares A. 99. Figueira Daniel (G) 95. Garcia S. 27. Moreira A. 80. Rodrigues R. 89. Varela G. 2. Ze Carlos 6. Ze Carlos
Coaches
Margarido T.	Peixoto C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽, Hevertton S. (A),
42', Bamba M. A. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Esteves L. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hevertton S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
46', Bamba M. A. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
63', Soares F. 🟨,
64', Caseres F. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
65', Soares F. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
73', Fernandez M. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
73', Liziero ↓, Vallier L. ↑,
73', Jose Gomes ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
76', Ze Carlos 🟨,
77', da Silva Ventura A. 🟨,
82', Bermejo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
82', Ze Carlos 🟨,
90+3', Ulisses 🟨,
90+4', Pablo 🟨,
90+5', Ramirez J. 🟨,
90+5', Rodrigues R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.

Gil Vicente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M. (Muscle Injury) Fernandes I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gil Vicente: Tchaptchet A. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Club Friendly
03.08.25	Marítimo - Nacional	3:0 ✺
22.07.25	Celta de Vigo - Nacional	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Porto - Nacional	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Nacional - Rio Ave	3:3 ✺
03.05.25	Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Gil Vicente
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Gil Vicente - Brentford	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.25	Rio Ave - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Gil Vicente - Arouca	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Gil Vicente - Farense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
19.04.25	Nacional - Gil Vicente	0:3
07.12.24	Gil Vicente - Nacional	2:1
Portuguese League Cup
27.11.22	Gil Vicente - Nacional	2:0
Liga Portugal
19.03.21	Gil Vicente - Nacional	2:0
08.11.20	Nacional - Gil Vicente	2:1
Portuguese Liga 2
22.04.18	Gil Vicente - Nacional	0:0
10.12.17	Nacional - Gil Vicente	1:1

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