Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday


	Leiston		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.2	4.6
	1.4	4	5.4
	1.54	4.1	4.6
	1.59	4.51	4.51
	1.53	4.3	4.95
	1.5	4.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.37)	4.27 ↓ (4.5)	4.8 ↓ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
59.9%

Draw
21.2%

Ilkeston
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.2%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.4%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiston's form might have worsened.

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilkeston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilkeston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Leiston - Ilkeston Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leiston will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Ilkeston will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leiston: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs) and 9).

Leiston is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ilkeston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ilkeston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leiston is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiston won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
28.01.23	Leiston - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Aldershot Town - Leiston	4:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
07.01.23	Leiston - Basford United	6:2 ✺
02.01.23	Kings Langley - Leiston	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Leiston - Needham Market	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTW
- Ilkeston FC
English Southern League Central Division
28.01.23	Ilkeston - Coalville Town	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	St Ives Town - Ilkeston	2:2 ✺
07.01.23	Ilkeston - Rushden & Diamonds	3:1 ✺
02.01.23	Mickleover Sports - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Ilkeston - Basford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.08.22	Ilkeston - Leiston	2:2

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