The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leixões 57.6%
Draw 23.4%
Lusitânia 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
29%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
28.2%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leixões's performance.
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lusitânia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leixões that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitânia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Leixões - Lusitânia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Leixões (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Leixões will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leixões (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morro M. (G) 2. Fonseca F. 14. Matheus Costa 3. Figueiredo L. 30. Serif N. 66. Balde A. 20. Miguel Sousa 22. Araujo C. 7. Werton 35. Rochez B. (C) 33. Luccas Paraizo
23. Ribeiro M. (G) 28. Mesquita T. (C) 22. Faria B. 6. Alhassan I. 29. Cerveira T. 8. Tokinho Doria 88. Teixeira M. 60. Danny 21. Joao Vasco 9. Silva J. 77. Tiago Dias
Substitutes
11. Agra S. 47. Cardoso J. (G) 13. Evrard Zag 63. Faria H. 19. Moshood M. 71. Paulinho 10. Paulite 15. Simaozinho 91. Valente R.
74. Braga G. 80. Manel 7. Martins R. 24. Mimito 40. Paiva L. 11. Pereira M. 99. Platiny 16. Rocha L. 32. Vitor Hugo (G)
Coaches
Fangueiro C.
Miguel Pedro
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Ribeiro M. 🟥,
19', Tiago Dias ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
27', Luccas Paraizo 🟨,
27', Alhassan I. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Rochez B. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Miguel Sousa 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Matheus Costa 🟨,
52', Alhassan I. 🟨,
59', Silva J. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
59', Teixeira M. ↓, Manel ↑,
59', Joao Vasco ↓, Mimito ↑,
65', Miguel Sousa ↓, Evrard Zag ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Rochez B. ⚽,
77', Werton ↓, Paulite ↑,
77', Luccas Paraizo ↓, Valente R. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Pereira M. ⚽,
90+1', Rochez B. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
90+2', Balde A. ↓, Moshood M. ↑,
90+2', Tokinho Doria ↓, Platiny ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).
Leixões is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Lusitânia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Leixões is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).
Portugal
Watch
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Morro M. (G) 
Fonseca F. 
Matheus Costa 
Balde A. 
Rochez B. (C) 
Alhassan I. 
Evrard Zag 
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