Match Info
Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30Date: 19 April 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
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Portimonense |
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Lusitânia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.42 |
3.2 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.57 |
3.27 |
2.92 |
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 |
2.39 |
3.41 |
2.84 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.42 |
3.26 |
2.86 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.38) |
3.19 ↑
(3.15) |
2.8 ↓
(2.93) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portimonense
37.8% | Draw
29.1% | Lusitânia
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Portimonense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Portimonense will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
26.  Maycon Cleiton (G)
32. Jarleysom
8.  Lobato S.
73. Junior M.
16. Thauan Lara
18. Mamede
87. Pancadas Casimiro J. D.
31. Edney
21.  Dauda M.
17. Joao Reis (C)
90. Canario F.
| 32. Vitor Hugo (G)
3. Josue Sa
22. Faria B.
5. Silverio (C)
60. Danny
88. Teixeira M.
27. Fabinho
6.  Alhassan I.
16. Rocha L.
11. Pereira M.
7. Martins R.
|
| Substitutes |
47.  Cagro W.
77.  Cibois S. (G)
19. Dju M.
40. Joao Vitor
50.  Kait K.
93. Welinton Junior
65. Wellington Santana (G)
| 29. Cerveira T.
4.  Collard D.
21. Joao Vasco
28. Mesquita T.
24.  Mimito
9. Silva J.
23. Sousa M. (G)
77. Tiago Dias
8. Tokinho Doria
|
| Coaches |
Fernandes T.
| Miguel Pedro
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Alhassan I. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 46', Teixeira M. ↓, Tokinho Doria ↑,
- 48', Canario F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 52', Mamede 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 1, Faria B. ⚽, Silva J. (A),
- 61', 0 - 2, Rocha L. ⚽,
- 62', Thauan Lara ↓, Cagro W. ↑,
- 62', Canario F. ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
- 65', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. ↓, Dju M. ↑,
- 66', Martins R. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 2, Dauda M. ⚽, Edney (A),
- 69', Martins R. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 72', Fernandes T. 🟨,
- 77', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 79', Cagro W. 🟨,
- 80', Tokinho Doria 🟨,
- 84', Fabinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Faria B. ↓, Collard D. ↑,
- 85', Fabinho ↓, Mimito ↑,
- 89', Junior M. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Dauda M. ⚽, Junior M. (A),
- 90+12', 3 - 2, Cagro W. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Lusitânia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portimonense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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