Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 33

Date: 19 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Leixões		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.88
	2.25	3.1	2.85
	2.33	3.2	2.8
	2.52	3.32	2.98
	2.35	3	2.88
	2.4	3.25	2.85
	2.34	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.5)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	2.88 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
38.9%

Draw
29.2%

Vilafranquense
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

29.6%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Leixões - Vilafranquense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Vilafranquense will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leixões: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leixões won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leixões won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
14.05.23	Moreirense - Leixões	4:2 ✺
05.05.23	Leixões - BSAD	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Leixões - Mafra	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Torreense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Leixões - Covilhã	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
14.05.23	Vilafranquense - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Mafra - Vilafranquense	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Vilafranquense - Torreense	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Tondela - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
17.04.23	Vilafranquense - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.01.23	Vilafranquense - Leixões	2:0
14.03.22	Leixões - Vilafranquense	1:1
22.10.21	Vilafranquense - Leixões	1:3
16.04.21	Vilafranquense - Leixões	0:2
21.01.21	Leixões - Vilafranquense	2:0
14.12.19	Vilafranquense - Leixões	1:1

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