Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 33

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Almeida N. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Leixões		AVS

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.05
	3.25	3.2	2
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.44	3.41	2.2
	3.64	3.51	2.08
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.54	3.29	2.02
	3.55	3.2	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.06)	3.31 ↑ (3.19)	2.05 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
26.7%

Draw
28%

AVS
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.5%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

28.8%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AVS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Leixões - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 25%). AVS will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Stefanovic I. (C) 44. Avto 43. Danrlei 4. Leo Bolgado 15. Simaozinho 18. Vito 16. Simoes A. 6. Paulinho 70. Oliveira J. 9. Joao Marcos 33. Valente R.	93. Simao (G) 12. Farias E. (C) 41. Correia A. 40. Clayton 2. Fonseca F. 6. Pacheco F. 23. Mendonca G. 17. Mercado J. 8. Bernardo 90. Tunde Akinsola 19. Talles Wander
Substitutes
84. Adriano Amorim 61. Amorim Gomes J. F. 7. Conceicao M. 45. Daniels D. 8. Freitas R. 2. Gabriel Noga 31. Matos F. (G) 10. Paulite 13. Zagbayou H.	20. Amorim J. 10. Dioh I. 47. Lucca J. 16. Mena Y. 18. Nene 11. Stenio 5. Teixeira J. 88. Trigueira P. (G) 98. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Fangueiro C.	Costa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Valente R. 🟨,
39', Tunde Akinsola 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Oliveira J. 🟨,
62', Mendonca G. ↓, Lucca J. ↑,
62', Tunde Akinsola ↓, Stenio ↑,
63', Oliveira J. ↓, Amorim Gomes J. F. ↑,
72', Talles Wander ↓, Nene ↑,
76', Paulinho ↓, Zagbayou H. ↑,
76', Avto ↓, Adriano Amorim ↑,
76', Joao Marcos ↓, Paulite ↑,
80', Farias E. 🟨,
83', Leo Bolgado 🟨,
84', Farias E. ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
84', Bernardo ↓, Dioh I. ↑,
88', Lucca J. 🟨,
90+1', Valente R. ↓, Daniels D. ↑,
90+3', Simoes A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

AVS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

AVS will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
04.05.24	Académico de Viseu - Leixões	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Leixões - Vilaverdense	1:3 ✺
19.04.24	Feirense - Leixões	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Leixões - Torreense	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Leixões - Leiria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTTT
- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
06.05.24	AVS - Mafra	3:3 ✺
30.04.24	Paços de Ferreira - AVS	0:4 ✺
24.04.24	AVS - Porto B	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Benfica B - AVS	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Nacional - AVS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.01.24	AVS - Leixões	1:3

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