Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Paços de Ferreira		AVS

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.25
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.4	2.35
	2.9	3.57	2.41
	2.89	3.55	2.43
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	2.8	3.4	2.32
	2.75	3.25	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.74)	3.4 ↑ (3.28)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
33%

Draw
27.2%

AVS
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	50%	21.4%

Paços de Ferreira - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 3 - 25%). AVS will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jeimes (G) 21. Neves A. 23. Ferigra E. 4. Ganchas P. 14. Rocha S. 22. Luiz Carlos (C) 29. Gorby 9. Ze Uilton 10. Djalo M. 77. Cipenga B. 19. Fonte R.	88. Trigueira P. (G) 22. Leo Alaba 41. Correia A. 40. Clayton 2. Fonseca F. 6. Pacheco F. 7. Silva L. (C) 11. Stenio 8. Bernardo 17. Mercado J. 19. Talles Wander
Substitutes
5. Antunes V. 30. Costinha 2. Icaro 50. Jojo 28. Marafona (G) 7. Miguel 97. Pablo 17. Paulo M. 8. Welton	20. Amorim J. 10. Dioh I. 12. Farias E. 16. Mena Y. 23. Mendonca G. 70. Samuel Granada 93. Simao (G) 5. Teixeira J. 90. Tunde Akinsola
Coaches
Silva R.	Costa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Talles Wander ⚽, Silva L. (A),
37', Pacheco F. 🟨,
39', Fonseca F. 🟨,
45', Djalo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gorby ↓, Costinha ↑,
46', Ze Uilton ↓, Welton ↑,
46', Leo Alaba 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Mercado J. ⚽, Stenio (A),
55', Welton 🟨,
60', Silva L. 🟨,
65', 0 - 3, Mercado J. ⚽, Stenio (A),
66', Stenio ↓, Tunde Akinsola ↑,
67', Talles Wander ↓, Samuel Granada ↑,
67', Fonte R. ↓, Pablo ↑,
67', Rocha S. ↓, Antunes V. ↑,
74', Cipenga B. ↓, Miguel ↑,
77', Mercado J. ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
77', Pacheco F. ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Mena Y. ⚽, Tunde Akinsola (A),
84', Bernardo ↓, Dioh I. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Paços de Ferreira is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AVS is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AVS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
20.04.24	Penafiel - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Paços de Ferreira - Nacional	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Académico de Viseu - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTWWT
- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
24.04.24	AVS - Porto B	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Benfica B - AVS	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Nacional - AVS	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	AVS - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Oliveirense - AVS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.12.23	AVS - Paços de Ferreira	2:0

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