Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	AVS		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	8
	1.28	5	7.75
	1.28	5.5	10
	1.59	4.05	5.46
	1.3	5.71	9.87
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.26	5.26	9
	1.27	5.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.58)	5.09 ↑ (3.94)	8.52 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
70.8%

Draw
18.3%

Mafra
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

22.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AVS's performance.

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mafra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AVS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mafra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

AVS - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Mafra will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Trigueira P. (G) 22. Leo Alaba 41. Correia A. 40. Clayton 2. Fonseca F. 6. Pacheco F. 7. Silva L. (C) 11. Stenio 8. Bernardo 17. Mercado J. 18. Nene	16. Olafsson E. (G) 19. Diao O. 4. Goulart J. (C) 30. Queiros J. 77. Matos R. 20. Miguel Sousa 3. Chriso 27. Nibe A. 17. de Sousa Dias Pedro Lopes A. F. 96. Fale M. 18. Sturgeon F.
Substitutes
20. Amorim J. 10. Dioh I. 12. Farias E. 16. Mena Y. 23. Mendonca G. 93. Simao (G) 19. Talles Wander 5. Teixeira J. 90. Tunde Akinsola	9. Almeida D. 1. Andre Paulo (G) 80. Balburdia M. 2. Beni D. 6. Bravo P. 7. Dju M. 8. Gabriel L. 10. Pite 44. Texel P.
Coaches
Costa J.	Silas

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Matos R. ⚽,
31', Silva L. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Mercado J. ⚽,
41', Leo Alaba 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Fale M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Stenio ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
46', Fonseca F. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
46', Pacheco F. ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
46', Nene ↓, Tunde Akinsola ↑,
46', Queiros J. 🟥,
53', Sturgeon F. ↓, Texel P. ↑,
62', 1 - 3, Fale M. ⚽,
63', Miguel Sousa ↓, Bravo P. ↑,
63', de Sousa Dias Pedro Lopes A. F. ↓, Beni D. ↑,
63', Correia A. ↓, Talles Wander ↑,
68', Bernardo (Pen),
68', 2 - 3, Bernardo ⚽,
73', Matos R. ↓, Gabriel L. ↑,
74', Nibe A. ↓, Pite ↑,
77', 3 - 3, Mendonca G. ⚽,
80', Farias E. 🟨,
88', Gabriel L. 🟨,
90+2', Mercado J. 🟨,
90+5', Olafsson E. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

AVS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match AVS is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches AVS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.24	Paços de Ferreira - AVS	0:4 ✺
24.04.24	AVS - Porto B	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Benfica B - AVS	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Nacional - AVS	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	AVS - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
27.04.24	Mafra - Oliveirense	3:3 ✺
21.04.24	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Mafra - Feirense	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Vilaverdense - Mafra	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Mafra - Torreense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
31.12.23	Mafra - AVS	0:2

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