Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Teixeira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Tondela		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.75
	1.6	3.5	4.8
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.64	3.89	5.56
	1.65	3.89	5.56
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.65	3.8	5.12	Watch
	1.62	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)	3.75 ↓ (3.91)	5.07 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
57%

Draw
24.8%

Vilaverdense
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24.2%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23.7%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Tondela - Vilaverdense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Vilaverdense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Leo Navacchio (G) 2. Bebeto 4. Gustavo 34. Alves R. (C) 26. Lucas Barros 28. Lobato S. 97. Cicero 8. Tavares H. 9. dos Anjos D. 17. Roberto 55. Farias L.	93. Santos R. (G) 6. Konate B. 26. Batista J. 27. Freitas C. 12. Maviram E. 25. Seedorf S. 23. Ericson (C) 88. Neves L. 8. Joao Caiado 7. Teixeira G. 11. Bruno Silva
Substitutes
6. Ceitil A. 11. Costinha 18. Cuba 33. Gustavo 44. Lucas Mezenga 21. Maranhao 16. Rocha L. 1. Sousa J. (G) 19. Tiago Almeida	52. Burst J. 82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 4. Kawale R. 3. Laercio 19. Lopes A. 5. Sako M.
Coaches
Marreco T.	Machado S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gustavo ↓, Lucas Mezenga ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cicero ↓, Costinha ↑,
46', Roberto ↓, Maranhao ↑,
63', Seedorf S. ↓, Hanne B. ↑,
64', Neves L. 🟨,
65', Lobato S. ↓, Cuba ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Maranhao ⚽, Farias L. (A),
77', dos Anjos D. 🟨,
77', Farias L. ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
85', Maviram E. ↓, Lopes A. ↑,
85', Teixeira G. ↓, Fati N. ↑,
90+1', Freitas C. ↓, Kawale R. ↑,
90+4', Lucas Mezenga 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Tondela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vilaverdense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Tondela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tondela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
15.03.24	Torreense - Tondela	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Tondela - Marítimo	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Leixões - Tondela	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Tondela - Leiria	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Mafra - Tondela	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTTW
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
18.03.24	Vilaverdense - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Porto B - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
04.03.24	Vilaverdense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Benfica B - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Vilaverdense - AVS	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
12.11.23	Vilaverdense - Tondela	1:2

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