Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Leiria		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.66	3.4	4.4
	1.72	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.88	4.77
	1.74	3.88	4.78
	1.62	3.6	4.6
	1.68	3.72	4.58
	1.69	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.61)	3.67 ↓ (4.01)	4.57 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leiria
54.6%

Draw
25.2%

Vilaverdense
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.5%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

21.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Leiria - Vilaverdense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Vilaverdense will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kieszek P. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 3. Lystsov V. 2. Ferreira T. 14. Empis P. 25. Amado D. (C) 42. D'Avilla D. 17. Lucho Vega 10. van der Gaag J. 11. Silva J. 35. Rochez B.	93. Santos R. (G) 6. Konate B. 27. Freitas C. 26. Batista J. 12. Maviram E. 88. Neves L. 23. Ericson 25. Seedorf S. 10. Soares A. (C) 11. Bruno Silva 7. Teixeira G.
Substitutes
7. Antunes L. 8. Arsenio 90. Ayongo P. 16. Cuca 29. Ferreira F. (G) 15. Kaka 72. Oliveira V. 21. Silva L. 22. Valdir	52. Burst J. 82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 4. Kawale R. 3. Laercio 19. Lopes A. 5. Sako M.
Coaches
Candido F.	Machado S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Ericson 🟨,
13', van der Gaag J. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Rochez B. ⚽,
45', Lucho Vega 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Seedorf S. ↓, Hanne B. ↑,
46', Ericson ↓, Sako M. ↑,
46', Lucho Vega ↓, Arsenio ↑,
46', Silva J. ↓, Ayongo P. ↑,
51', Neves L. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Rochez B. ⚽,
72', Batista J. ↓, Laercio ↑,
73', van der Gaag J. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
78', Maviram E. ↓, Kawale R. ↑,
78', Soares A. ↓, Lopes A. ↑,
80', Empis P. ↓, Kaka ↑,
80', D'Avilla D. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
81', Sako M. 🟨,
86', Amado D. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 0, Rochez B. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Neves L. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Leiria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilaverdense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilaverdense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leiria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.24	Leixões - Leiria	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Leiria - Nacional	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Marítimo - Leiria	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Leiria - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Leiria - Mafra	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLWL
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
07.04.24	Vilaverdense - Mafra	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Tondela - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
18.03.24	Vilaverdense - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Porto B - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
04.03.24	Vilaverdense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.12.23	Vilaverdense - Leiria	1:0

Upcoming Matches