Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Lens		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.62
	5.5	3.8	1.63
	5.7	3.95	1.65	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.65
	5.79	3.95	1.66
	5.8	3.9	1.6
	6.2	4	1.58
	5.6	4.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.7 ↑ (5.12)	3.94 ↓ (4.12)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
16.8%

Draw
24.4%

Arsenal
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

22.9%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.6%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.8%	2.2%	95%

Lens - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (171 of 180 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.82% – 98.18%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (C) 24. Gradit J. 4. Danso K. 14. Medina F. 29. Frankowski P. 26. Mendy N. 6. Abdul Samed S. 3. Machado D. 7. Sotoca F. 28. Thomasson A. 9. Wahi E.	22. Raya D. (G) 18. Tomiyasu T. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 35. Zinchenko O. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 41. Rice D. 29. Havertz K. 7. Saka B. 9. Gabriel Jesus 19. Trossard L.
Substitutes
2. Aguilar R. 18. Diouf A. 23. El Aynaoui N. 11. Fulgini A. 27. Guilavogui M. 25. Khusanov A. 16. Leca J. (G) 20. Maouassa F. 40. Pandor Y. (G) 22. Said W.	17. Cedric 25. Elneny M. 31. Hein K. (G) 20. Jorginho 15. Kiwior J. 24. Nelson R. 14. Nketiah E. 5. Partey T. 1. Ramsdale A. (G) 10. Smith Rowe E. 21. Vieira F. 4. White B.
Coaches
Haise F.	Arteta M.

Preview

Recent matches Lens is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arsenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arsenal is a favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Costa D. (Shoulder Injury) Farinez W. (Knee Injury) Haidara M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Partey T. (Muscle Injury) Timber J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Martinelli G. (Muscle Injury) Saka B. (Leg Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lens won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
29.09.23	Strasbourg - Lens	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Lens - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Sevilla - Lens	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.09.23	Lens - Metz	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Monaco - Lens	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTLL
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
30.09.23	Bournemouth - Arsenal	0:4 ✺
English League Cup
27.09.23	Brentford - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
24.09.23	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
17.09.23	Everton - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.16	Lens - Arsenal	1:1

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