Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 41

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Galvez Rascon D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Cartagena		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.4
	2.7	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.89	3.34	2.58
	2.98	3.28	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.65)	3.24 ↑ (3.05)	2.48 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
33.1%

Draw
29%

Las Palmas
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	45%	45%

Cartagena - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Cartagena has the most likely position - 7 (57.87%), project points - 60, currently - 58, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 2 (26.95%), project points - 71, currently - 68, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), a good chance of promoted (59%), a chance of win league (23%).

This event has quality 34, importance 52, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
13.05.23	Zaragoza - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Cartagena - Burgos	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Málaga - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTWL
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
14.05.23	Las Palmas - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
08.05.23	Eibar - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Las Palmas - Levante	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Granada - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.10.22	Las Palmas - Cartagena	1:0
06.02.22	Cartagena - Las Palmas	0:2
03.10.21	Las Palmas - Cartagena	4:1
20.02.21	Las Palmas - Cartagena	2:0
24.10.20	Cartagena - Las Palmas	3:0
11.05.12	Las Palmas - Cartagena	1:2

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