Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)


	Leones Negros UdeG		Tapatío

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	3.9
	1.62	3.9	4.65
	1.66	4.13	4.84
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.62	3.88	4.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	3.76 ↓ (3.82)	4.43 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros UdeG
54.8%

Draw
24.4%

Tapatío
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lopez F. (G) 10. Brigido J. 9. Camacho Lastra R. E. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 20. Flores B. 4. Ledesma A. (C) 13. Lopez R. 18. Munoz D. 7. Rivera E. 2. Sanchez J. 5. Torres U.	201. Liceaga J. (G) 70. Castro A. 42. Delgadillo D. (C) 66. Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 48. Jimenez L. 60. Ledesma L. 50. Mendez F. 49. Moragrega V. 69. Villaseca D. 72. Villegas A. 44. Zamora S.
Substitutes
24. Aguayo J. 84. Barba T. 25. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 15. Carreon A. 3. Flores L. 92. Jimenez B. 81. Madrigal K. 11. Perez J. 86. Torres D. 87. Valenzuela M.	67. Aguayo S. 46. Egurrola L. 54. Freyfeld E. 225. Inda C. 198. Latorre D. 71. Montiel Herrera E. A. (G) 203. Nuno R. 47. Ortiz G. 62. Tellez B. 59. Torres C.
Coaches
Sosa L.	Ortega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Munoz D. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Munoz D. ⚽, Camacho Lastra R. E. (A),
30', Sanchez J. 🟨,
36', Zamora S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Delgadillo D. ↓, Nuno R. ↑,
57', Brigido J. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
60', Mendez F. 🟨,
65', Castro A. ↓, Ortiz G. ↑,
66', Moragrega V. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
74', Flores B. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
76', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
84', Zamora S. ↓, Tellez B. ↑,
84', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Latorre D. ↑,
84', Villaseca D. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
89', Rivera E. ↓, Aguayo J. ↑,
89', Lopez R. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
90+1', Villegas A. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Aguayo S. ⚽, Jimenez L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 2.

In this match, Leones Negros UdeG is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.08.25	Correcaminos UAT - Leones Negros UdeG	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Irapuato	4:2 ✺
02.08.25	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.08.25	Tapatío - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:3 ✺
08.08.25	Venados - Tapatío	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Tapatío - Atlético La Paz	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.06.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	1:2
31.05.25	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0
12.01.25	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	2:3
Club Friendly
27.12.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	3:0
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.11.24	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	2:2
14.11.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	2:2
26.07.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	1:1

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