The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leones Negros UdeG 73.9%
Draw 15.6%
Tepatitlán de Morelos 10.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
72.8%
16.2%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
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2
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Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 16th).
Leones Negros UdeG is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 1.
Leones Negros UdeG is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tepatitlán is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Leones Negros UdeG may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Leones Negros UdeG enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Leones Negros UdeG has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:15 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leones Negros UdeG against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 11:5 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).