Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping


	Leones del Norte		Atlético Vinotinto

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.5
	1.89	3.35	3.65	Watch
	1.9	3.53	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.9
	1.89	3.57	3.68
	1.89	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)	3.38 ↓ (3.48)	3.71 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
48.2%

Draw
27.1%

Atlético Vinotinto
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

25.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Atlético Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Leones del Norte - Atlético Vinotinto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Caramuto M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Ibarra T. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Atlético Vinotinto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leones del Norte is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.04.25	Vargas Torres - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Leones del Norte - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
02.04.25	Gualaceo - Leones del Norte	2:2 ✺
27.03.25	Leones del Norte - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
20.03.25	Imbabura - Leones del Norte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TTTTW
- Atlético Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.04.25	Guayaquil City - Atlético Vinotinto	3:2 ✺
08.04.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Independiente Juniors	3:2 ✺
01.04.25	San Antonio - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Cumbayá - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL

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