Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Andrade (Azogues)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Gualaceo		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.47	2.96	3.26
	2.96	2.75	2.67	Watch
	2.43	2.77	3.07	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.4)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	3.04 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
36.3%

Draw
33%

Leones del Norte
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

32.8%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

32.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Gualaceo - Leones del Norte Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 3, ⚽,
71', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gualaceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Leones del Norte has had a series of home games.

Gualaceo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gualaceo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Copa
08.10.25	Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle	0:6 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
05.10.25	Guayaquil City - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
25.09.25	Gualaceo - San Antonio	2:2 ✺
16.09.25	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
11.09.25	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTWW
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Copa
08.10.25	Leones del Norte - Emelec	0:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.10.25	Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
25.09.25	Leones del Norte - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	San Antonio - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
11.09.25	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	1:2
11.06.25	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	0:0
02.04.25	Gualaceo - Leones del Norte	2:2
01.10.24	Gualaceo - Leones del Norte	0:2
13.08.24	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	0:1
09.06.24	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	0:1
17.04.24	Gualaceo - Leones del Norte	2:1

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