Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Folke Anderson (Esmeraldas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Vargas Torres		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.49	2.75	Watch
	3.13	2.57	2.99
	3.18	2.41	2.98	Watch
	3.3	2.5	2.5
	3.09	2.58	2.7	Watch
	3	2.49	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.62)	2.51 ↓ (2.98)	2.78 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vargas Torres
29.7%

Draw
36.9%

Leones del Norte
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vargas Torres's form might have worsened.

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	92.3%	0%

Vargas Torres - Leones del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vargas Torres will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 77.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Vargas Torres (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 9 - 90%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Arana J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, Caramuto T. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

Leones del Norte will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vargas Torres won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Vargas Torres won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
09.04.25	22 de Julio - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Vargas Torres - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Vargas Torres - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTLWT
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Serie B
09.04.25	Leones del Norte - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
02.04.25	Gualaceo - Leones del Norte	2:2 ✺
27.03.25	Leones del Norte - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
20.03.25	Imbabura - Leones del Norte	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Leones del Norte - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
12.09.24	Leones del Norte - Vargas Torres	1:1
25.07.24	Vargas Torres - Leones del Norte	0:0
22.05.24	Leones del Norte - Vargas Torres	2:2
27.03.24	Vargas Torres - Leones del Norte	1:1

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