Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 16

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Referee: Moreira E. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Leones del Norte		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.25	Watch
	3.1	2.92	2.35	Watch
	3.09	3.05	2.53
	3.09	2.95	2.45	Watch
	2.9	2.7	2.38
	3.06	2.96	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (3.02)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.41 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
30%

Draw
31.6%

Deportivo Macará
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

31.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

31%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	26.7%	20%

Leones del Norte - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Macará will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leones del Norte: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Macará (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Macará (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Nazareno L. (G) 2. Moran J. 23. Monserrat N. 25. Kreiman B. 4. Arroyo R. 55. Borja R. 8. Velez C. 19. Pepinos E. 99. Solano C. 40. Anangono J. (C) 70. Pazmino D.	1. Rodriguez R. (G) 4. Jimenez J. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 5. Estacio J. 16. Cazares J. 15. Tello M. 9. Posse F. 10. Miranda M. 22. Ferro L.
Substitutes
32. Aguas A. 24. Angulo J. L. (G) 13. Cabeza J. 50. Caicedo M. 27. Caicedo Nestor 11. Caramuto M. 5. Coppo T. 6. Griffa E. 17. Mairongo J. 10. Mansilla A. 44. Mina K. 3. Vargas F.	25. Bolanos D. 50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 11. Espinoza T. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J. 7. Paz F. 19. Ramos P. 17. Zambrano J.
Coaches
Mendez E.	Sanguinetti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Jimenez J. 🟨,
20', Estacio J. 🟨,
31', Moran J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tello M. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
46', Marrufo J. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
47', Monserrat N. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Ferro L. ⚽, Klinger J. (A),
62', Pazmino D. ↓, Caicedo Nestor ↑,
64', Posse F. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
69', Borja R. ↓, Griffa E. ↑,
69', Velez C. ↓, Coppo T. ↑,
69', Kreiman B. ↓, Caicedo M. ↑,
74', Solano C. ↓, Mina K. ↑,
80', Ferro L. ↓, Medranda M. ↑,
85', Miranda M. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Anangono J. ⚽, Arroyo R. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54

Last Results with these Odds

Leones del Norte - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.23%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Macará - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.01%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Copa
29.05.26	Huaquillas - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Leones del Norte - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Orense - Leones del Norte	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Leones del Norte - Emelec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW
- Deportivo Macará
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.26	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.05.26	Deportivo Macará - Alianza Atlético	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.05.26	Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Manta - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.02.26	Deportivo Macará - Leones del Norte	0:0

Upcoming Matches