Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 18

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Leones del Norte		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.25	2.10	Watch
	3.10	3.10	2.10
	3.55	3.30	2.02	Watch
	3.40	3.30	2.25
	3.32	3.41	2.13	Watch
	3.30	3.20	2.20
	3.38	3.30	2.13	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.8)	3.25 (3.25)	2.14 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
28.1%

Draw
28.5%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

28.5%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	7.1%	71.4%

Leones del Norte - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Nazareno L. (G) 2. Moran J. 4. Arroyo R. 32. Aguas A. 16. De La Cruz M. 5. Coppo T. 6. Griffa E. 11. Caramuto M. 70. Pazmino D. 99. Solano C. 40. Anangono J. (C)	12. Lara J. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. (C) 4. Jhon Chancellor 44. Valencia E. 9. Londono A. 5. Cacciabue J. 28. Diaz M. 20. Chala J. 18. Palacios B. 32. Alonso M.
Substitutes
22. Arroyo J. (G) 55. Borja R. 13. Cabeza J. 50. Caicedo M. 27. Caicedo Nestor 33. Chacon A. 14. Rosales A. 3. Vargas F. 8. Velez C.	1. Cueva L. (G) 7. Fajardo J. 10. Martinez F. 37. Medina C. 30. Mejia E. 15. Moreno L. 23. Rodriguez A. 22. Romo R. (G) 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Cordoba M.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Aguas A. 🟨,
19', Valencia E. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Griffa E. ⚽,
45+6', Jhon Chancellor 🟨,
45+6', Arroyo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Solano C. 🟨,
57', Anangono G. 🟨,
58', Valencia E. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
58', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
60', Alonso M. 🟨,
62', Solano C. ↓, Caicedo M. ↑,
71', Cacciabue J. 🟨,
71', Cacciabue J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
80', Chala J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
80', Pazmino D. ↓, Velez C. ↑,
84', Caicedo M. 🟨,
86', Griffa E. ↓, Caicedo Nestor ↑,
87', Caramuto M. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
87', Coppo T. ↓, Folleco A. ↑,
90+3', Borja R. 🟨,
90+7', Rodriguez A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

Leones del Norte is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uni Católica has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Uni Católica could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. Catolica	31	14	9	8	52:29	23	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.07.26	Libertad Loja - Leones del Norte	1:3 ✺
01.06.26	Leones del Norte - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.05.26	Huaquillas - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Leones del Norte - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWLW
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa	2:3 ✺
31.05.26	Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
28.05.26	El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:4 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.26	Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Delfín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Leones del Norte	3:0

Upcoming Matches