Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ourense CF		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.95	3	3.5
	2.06	3.15	3.65
	2.02	3.17	3.72
	2.01	3.14	3.7	Watch
	2.01	3.13	3.77
	2.06	3.15	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.06)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	3.68 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
45.6%

Draw
29.5%

Real Unión de Irun
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ourense CF - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 16. Juanma Bravo 6. Fidalgo A. 10. Gil A. 22. Noriega J. 21. Raigal J. 7. Carbonell J.	13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 5. Dominguez J. 6. Quintana A. 24. Munroe F. 7. Aranzabe A. 22. Garrido D. 10. Rivero Q. 8. Bilbao I. 9. Benito A. 20. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
2. Andrada F. 18. Blesa Alex 9. Di Renzo G. 11. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 17. Prada R. 8. Ramos J. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Sanchez A. 12. Teijo E. 23. Xesc Fullana	27. Arteaga U. 17. Cayarga B. 3. Marquez J. 11. Obieta K. 4. Olaortua I. 25. Perez C. (G) 31. Rodriguez O. (G) 2. Santos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Munroe F. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Bilbao I. 🟨,
64', Garrido D. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
64', Benito A. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
71', Juanma Bravo ↓, Xesc Fullana ↑,
71', Raigal J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
75', Carbonell J. ↓, Blesa Alex ↑,
75', Gil A. ↓,
80', Eimil V. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,
90+4', Noriega J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Real Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ourense CF will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.25	Ponferradina - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ourense CF - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLW
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.25	Real Unión de Irun - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Real Unión de Irun - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ourense CF	0:1

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