Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: CHI Memorial Stadium (East Ridge, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Chattanooga Red Wolves		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.35
	2.54	3.64	2.4
	2.59	3.76	2.42	Watch
	2.45	3.68	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.61)	3.65 ↑ (3.44)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga Red Wolves
36.6%

Draw
25%

Lexington
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.4%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-2%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves - Lexington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bush T. (G) 14. Hernandez P. 18. Green O. 4. Watters D. 5. Folla L. 3. Roberts J. 22. Lukic S. 8. Ualefi (C) 13. Hernandez O. 9. Lucas Coutinho 20. Mensah R.	13. Knight A. (G) 21. Young C. 5. Fox K. 12. Corrales J. (C) 77. Brown N. 6. Caputo A. 19. Canadi M. 9. Liadi A. 11. Cerritos A. 32. Diouf A. 20. Lacey K.
Substitutes
19. Fernandes G. 21. Filipe J. 12. Jerez R. (G) 23. Jnohope T. 10. Malango M. 11. Marsh C. 31. Morris G. 30. Oberholzer B. 6. Plascencia L.	7. Cano I. 1. Causey A. (G) 74. Ceja E. 25. Mane P. 44. Mendez M. 2. Robertson T. 16. Uche C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Brown N. 🟨,
33', Corrales J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', Mensah R. ↓, Marsh C. ↑,
61', Canadi M. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
61', Young C. ↓, Robertson T. ↑,
67', Liadi A. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Cerritos A. ⚽, Fox K. (A),
72', Hernandez O. ↓, Filipe J. ↑,
73', Ualefi ↓, Morris G. ↑,
73', Folla L. ↓, Jnohope T. ↑,
73', Cerritos A. ↓, Mane P. ↑,
73', Lacey K. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
79', Fox K. ↓, Ceja E. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Cano I. ⚽,
84', Bush T. 🟨,
90', Filipe J. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 3, Diouf A. ⚽, Knight A. (A),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
19.10.24	Richmond Kickers - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTTL
- Lexington SC
USL League One
19.10.24	Lexington - Charlotte Independence	2:2 ✺
12.10.24	Union Omaha - Lexington	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Greenville Triumph - Lexington	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Richmond Kickers - Lexington	3:0 ✺
18.09.24	Lexington - Central Valley Fuego	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
31.08.24	Lexington - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:3 penalties
25.05.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Lexington	3:4
USL League One
15.03.24	Lexington - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:0
23.09.23	Lexington - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:5
14.06.23	Lexington - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0
29.04.23	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Lexington	3:1

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