Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 44

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	9
	1.44	4.1	7.5
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.45	4.41	8.22
	1.42	4.2	8
	1.44	4.33	7.6	Watch
	1.41	4.1	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.42)	4.28 ↑ (3.95)	7.93 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
66.2%

Draw
21.9%

Crewe Alexandra
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

23.6%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

23.2%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Leyton Orient - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (97.41%), project points - 90, currently - 84, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.

Crewe has the most likely position - 15 (14.85%), project points - 57, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 11, small importance 16, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 1.

Leyton Orient is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Crewe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leyton Orient is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
18.04.23	Gillingham - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Sutton United - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Leyton Orient - Harrogate Town	2:2 ✺
07.04.23	Salford City - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Leyton Orient - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTWW
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
15.04.23	Crewe Alexandra - Walsall	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	4:0 ✺
07.04.23	Crewe Alexandra - Barrow	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Doncaster Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.02.23	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	0:2
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	1:0
English League Two
28.01.20	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	2:0
17.09.19	Leyton Orient - Crewe Alexandra	1:2
22.04.17	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	3:0
29.10.16	Leyton Orient - Crewe Alexandra	0:2
English League One
11.04.15	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	1:1

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