The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sutton United 30.7%
Draw 30.7%
Leyton Orient 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
31.2%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
32%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leyton Orient's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leyton Orient, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
28.6%
57.1%
Sutton United - Leyton Orient Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 31.2% – 83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Sutton has the most likely position - 10 (39.68%), project points - 64, currently - 57, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (95.43%), project points - 89, currently - 81, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very good chance of promoted (>99%), a good chance of win league (95%).
This event has small quality11, small importance16, small match rating14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1.
Sutton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Leyton Orient is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Sutton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
Watch
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