Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 41

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	6
	1.66	3.5	5.25
	1.6	3.6	6
	1.67	3.66	6.06
	1.65	3.5	5.5
	1.66	3.66	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.61)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	5.64 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
57.1%

Draw
26.3%

Harrogate Town
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

26.9%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

26.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Leyton Orient - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 20).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (96.32%), project points - 91, currently - 80, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very good chance of promoted (>99%), a very good chance of win league (96%).

Harrogate has the most likely position - 21 (27.73%), project points - 48, currently - 40, a small chance of relegated (10%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 10, small importance 30, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 3.

Leyton Orient is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Harrogate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
07.04.23	Salford City - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Leyton Orient - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Hartlepool United - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Leyton Orient - Colchester United	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Leyton Orient - Swindon Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTTT
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
07.04.23	Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:2 ✺
31.03.23	Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Harrogate Town - Barrow	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Crawley Town - Harrogate Town	3:1 ✺
07.03.23	Doncaster Rovers - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.11.22	Harrogate Town - Leyton Orient	0:2
22.03.22	Harrogate Town - Leyton Orient	0:3
24.08.21	Leyton Orient - Harrogate Town	0:2
13.04.21	Harrogate Town - Leyton Orient	2:2
21.11.20	Leyton Orient - Harrogate Town	3:0
English National League
19.04.19	Leyton Orient - Harrogate Town	2:0
22.09.18	Harrogate Town - Leyton Orient	0:3

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