Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	Leyton Orient		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	9.5
	1.38	4.5	8.5
	1.38	4.65	8.5
	1.34	4.5	8.8
	1.38	4.84	9.25
	1.38	4.2	9
	1.39	4.75	10.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.56 ↑ (4.05)	9.15 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
68.8%

Draw
20.8%

Scunthorpe United
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

23.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

23.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leyton Orient's performance.

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Leyton Orient - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 14 (22.92%), has project points - 56, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (100%), has project points - 28, has currently - 24, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has very small quality 5, very small importance 0, very small match rating 2. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 0.

Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Scunthorpe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Leyton Orient have a series of guest games.

In this match Leyton Orient is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
09.04.22	Sutton United - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Walsall - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
29.03.22	Oldham Athletic - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Leyton Orient - Barrow	2:0 ✺
22.03.22	Harrogate Town - Leyton Orient	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLWW
- Scunthorpe United
English League Two
09.04.22	Scunthorpe United - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
02.04.22	Forest Green Rovers - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
26.03.22	Scunthorpe United - Harrogate Town	0:3 ✺
19.03.22	Salford City - Scunthorpe United	5:1 ✺
15.03.22	Scunthorpe United - Barrow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.11.21	Scunthorpe United - Leyton Orient	1:1
13.03.21	Leyton Orient - Scunthorpe United	1:1
05.12.20	Scunthorpe United - Leyton Orient	2:0
16.11.19	Leyton Orient - Scunthorpe United	0:2
English FA Cup
15.12.15	Scunthorpe United - Leyton Orient	3:0
05.12.15	Leyton Orient - Scunthorpe United	0:0
English League One
31.01.15	Leyton Orient - Scunthorpe United	1:4

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