Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 27

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Barrow

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.8
	2.05	3.1	3.8
	2	3.3	3.75
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.16	3.15	3.96
	2.05	3.1	3.9
	2.12	3.24	3.92	Watch
	2.07	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.82)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	3.8 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
45.4%

Draw
29.9%

Barrow
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

28.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

28.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leyton Orient's form might have worsened.

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyton Orient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	18.2%	4.5%

Leyton Orient - Barrow Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Barrow will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (60.81%), has project points - 93, has currently - 56, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a good chance of promoted (94%), has a good chance of win league (61%).

Barrow has the most likely position - 11 (8.44%), has project points - 65, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 12, importance 49, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
07.01.23	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
02.01.23	Northampton Town - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Newport County - Leyton Orient	0:0 ✺
27.12.22	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Leyton Orient - Sutton United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTTW
- Barrow
English League Two
07.01.23	Mansfield Town - Barrow	2:3 ✺
02.01.23	Barrow - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
29.12.22	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Salford City - Barrow	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Barrow - Swindon Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
24.09.22	Barrow - Leyton Orient	0:2
26.03.22	Leyton Orient - Barrow	2:0
09.10.21	Barrow - Leyton Orient	1:1
17.04.21	Leyton Orient - Barrow	2:0
10.10.20	Barrow - Leyton Orient	1:1
English National League
05.03.19	Barrow - Leyton Orient	2:3
11.08.18	Leyton Orient - Barrow	2:2

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