Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 18

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: EnviroVent Stadium (Harrogate)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)


	Harrogate Town		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.95
	3.7	3.4	1.95
	3.7	3.5	1.95
	3.6	3.35	1.99
	4.07	3.52	1.98
	3.75	3.3	2
	3.88	3.6	2	Watch
	3.55	3.3	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.38)	3.42 ↑ (3.13)	1.97 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
24.9%

Draw
27.5%

Leyton Orient
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

29.4%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Harrogate Town - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Harrogate has the most likely position - 24 (21.58%), has project points - 43, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (36.12%), has project points - 87, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a good chance of promoted (71%), has a chance of win league (36%).

This event has very small quality 9, importance 53, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leyton Orient will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
08.11.22	Harrogate Town - Carlisle United	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Bradford City - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
English League Two
29.10.22	AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town	3:2 ✺
25.10.22	Walsall - Harrogate Town	3:1 ✺
22.10.22	Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLLT
- Leyton Orient
English League Two
08.11.22	AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
English League Two
29.10.22	Leyton Orient - Salford City	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Leyton Orient - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	Carlisle United - Leyton Orient	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
22.03.22	Harrogate Town - Leyton Orient	0:3
24.08.21	Leyton Orient - Harrogate Town	0:2
13.04.21	Harrogate Town - Leyton Orient	2:2
21.11.20	Leyton Orient - Harrogate Town	3:0
English National League
19.04.19	Leyton Orient - Harrogate Town	2:0
22.09.18	Harrogate Town - Leyton Orient	0:3

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