Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 35

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.5
	1.88	3.3	4.1
	1.9	3.4	4
	1.91	3.47	4.5
	1.91	3.25	4.2
	1.83	3.52	4.4	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.98)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)	4.24 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
49.9%

Draw
28%

Swindon Town
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

29%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Leyton Orient - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (73.08%), has project points - 90, has currently - 71, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very good chance of promoted (97%), has a good chance of win league (73%).

Swindon has the most likely position - 9 (11.39%), has project points - 69, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 14, importance 56, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 2.

Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Swindon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
25.02.23	Grimsby Town - Leyton Orient	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.23	Leyton Orient - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Walsall - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTW
- Swindon Town
English League Two
25.02.23	Swindon Town - Harrogate Town	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Salford City - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Sutton United - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Swindon Town - Doncaster Rovers	0:2 ✺
04.02.23	Newport County - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.08.22	Swindon Town - Leyton Orient	1:1
18.04.22	Swindon Town - Leyton Orient	1:2
07.12.21	Leyton Orient - Swindon Town	4:1
07.09.19	Leyton Orient - Swindon Town	1:3
English League One
03.05.15	Swindon Town - Leyton Orient	2:2
04.10.14	Leyton Orient - Swindon Town	1:2
22.02.14	Leyton Orient - Swindon Town	2:0

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