Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 32

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	6.5
	1.58	3.6	6.25
	1.6	3.7	5.75
	1.6	3.82	6.73
	1.57	3.6	6.5
	1.56	3.84	6.4	Watch
	1.57	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.71)	3.69 ↑ (3.25)	6.3 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
59.6%

Draw
25.5%

Rochdale
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

28.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

28.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	13.6%	13.6%

Leyton Orient - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Rochdale will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (54.25%), has project points - 89, has currently - 64, has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a good chance of promoted (93%), has a good chance of win league (54%).

Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (47.72%), has project points - 38, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 8, importance 68, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 2.

Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rochdale has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Leyton Orient have a series of guest games.

In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
11.02.23	Walsall - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
04.02.23	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Tranmere Rovers - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLL
- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
11.02.23	Rochdale - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Salford City - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Rochdale - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Rochdale - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.09.22	Rochdale - Leyton Orient	0:1
19.03.22	Leyton Orient - Rochdale	3:1
13.11.21	Rochdale - Leyton Orient	2:2
English League One
21.04.15	Rochdale - Leyton Orient	1:0
27.09.14	Leyton Orient - Rochdale	2:3
05.05.12	Leyton Orient - Rochdale	N/A

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