Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 34

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Haines A. (Eng)


	Grimsby Town		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.5
	2.9	3.1	2.45
	3.1	3.3	2.25
	3.07	3.2	2.53
	3	3	2.45
	3.02	3.14	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	3.14 ↑ (2.9)	2.44 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
31.4%

Draw
29.9%

Leyton Orient
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

32.4%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

32.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Grimsby Town - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Grimsby has the most likely position - 17 (12%), has project points - 58, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (73.34%), has project points - 91, has currently - 70, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very good chance of promoted (97%), has a good chance of win league (73%).

This event has small quality 10, importance 41, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.

Recent matches Grimsby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leyton Orient is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leyton Orient could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
21.02.23	Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Northampton Town - Grimsby Town	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Gillingham - Grimsby Town	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Grimsby Town - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.02.23	Grimsby Town - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWLLW
- Leyton Orient
English League Two
18.02.23	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.23	Leyton Orient - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Walsall - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Crewe Alexandra - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
04.02.23	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
30.07.22	Leyton Orient - Grimsby Town	2:0
02.03.21	Grimsby Town - Leyton Orient	0:1
17.10.20	Leyton Orient - Grimsby Town	2:3
11.01.20	Leyton Orient - Grimsby Town	1:1
19.10.19	Grimsby Town - Leyton Orient	0:4
11.03.17	Leyton Orient - Grimsby Town	0:3
20.08.16	Grimsby Town - Leyton Orient	1:2

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