Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 26

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne (Loja)

Referee: Congo F. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Libertad Loja		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.15
	3.1	3.05	2.22	Watch
	3.53	3.16	2.25
	3.27	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.2
	3.7	3.22	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.05	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.06)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)	2.16 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Loja
27.5%

Draw
29.7%

Deportivo Macará
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.4%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Macará will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas D. (C) 17. Patta E. 6. Caicedo B. 2. Morinigo R. 19. Quinonez O. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 70. Branda V. 30. Bravo J. 80. Pineda Arana X. E. 49. Coronel D. 33. Chere A.	1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 16. Cazares J. 20. Viera M. 5. Estacio J. 28. Campana A. I. 22. Ferro L. 15. Tello M.
Substitutes
11. Batalla H. 27. Bueno S. 9. Caicedo E. 8. Castro S. 5. Gruezo C. 25. Lucas M. 18. Quinonez Y. 63. Valencia C.	18. Cabeza M. 50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 4. Jimenez J. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 10. Miranda M. 27. Mohor J.
Coaches
Buch J. P.	Sanguinetti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Chere A. ⚽, Patta E. (A),
31', Etchebarne S. 🟨,
31', Bravo J. 🟨,
42', Estacio J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Buch J. P. 🟨,
57', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,
58', Estacio J. ↓, Chamba T. ↑,
68', Bravo J. ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
74', Ferro L. ↓, Cabeza M. ↑,
74', Campana A. I. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
76', Branda V. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
76', Chere A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
82', Pineda Arana X. E. 🟨,
83', Bolanos D. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
83', Cazares J. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
89', Coronel D. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

Libertad has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Macará has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Macará could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.08.26	Guayaquil City - Libertad Loja	2:2 ✺
10.08.26	Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Libertad Loja - Orense	3:0 ✺
27.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Libertad Loja - Delfín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 TWWWW
- Deportivo Macará
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Santos	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Santos - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.08.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.04.26	Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja	3:0
21.09.25	Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja	1:1
25.05.25	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará	0:1
16.08.24	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará	0:1
15.03.24	Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja	3:0

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