Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	DAZN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+, DSports 310
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Santos		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	8.00	Watch
	1.40	4.60	7.50
	1.36	4.70	8.00	Watch
	1.41	4.45	9.05
	1.4	4.31	9.34	Watch
	1.41	4.10	8.55
	1.42	4.29	7.55	Watch
	1.43	4.80	8.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.45 ↑ (4.39)	8.27 ↑ (8.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
67.3%

Draw
21.3%

Deportivo Macará
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

21.5%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

20.5%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Santos - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Macará will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 25. Gabriel Menino 15. Willian Arao 14. Luan Peres 31. Escobar G. 28. Oliva C. 5. Joao Schmidt 8. Gabriel Bontempo 10. Neymar (C) 22. Barreal A. 9. Gabriel Barbosa	1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 5. Estacio J. 16. Cazares J. 28. Campana A. I. 10. Miranda M. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F.
Substitutes
17. Caballero G. 1. Diogenes (G) 27. Fernandes D. 98. Frias A. 26. Joao Ananias 34. Joao Paulo (G) 30. Miguelito 81. Pierri S. 7. Robinho Jr. 32. Rollheiser B. 11. Rony 16. Thaciano	50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J. 15. Tello M.
Coaches
Cuca	Sanguinetti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Posse F. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
25', Gabriel Menino ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
42', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Neymar (A),
45+5', Ayala M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
62', Escobar G. 🟨,
70', Miranda M. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
73', Cazares J. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Willian Arao ⚽, Neymar (A),
77', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
77', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
80', Estacio J. 🟨,
82', Barreal A. 🟨,
83', Barreal A. ↓, Rony ↑,
84', Estacio J. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
85', Campana A. I. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
90', Mohor J. 🟨,
90+2', Bolanos D. 🟨,
90+4', Posse F. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
90+5', Rony 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Santos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Macará is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Santos has had a series of home games.

In this match, Santos is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Santos - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.08.26	Remo - Santos	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Santos - Remo	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.07.26	Santos - Universidad Central	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.07.26	Santos - Chapecoense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTWT
- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.08.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Gualaceo - Deportivo Macará	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	1:4 ✺
22.07.26	Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWLWW

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