Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Lille		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2
	1.9	3.6	4.1
	1.92	3.45	4.35
	1.89	3.4	4.1
	1.93	3.48	4.36
	1.88	3.4	4.2
	1.94	3.68	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.63)	3.49 ↓ (4.25)	4.27 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
50.2%

Draw
27.4%

Celtic
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

18.5%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celtic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.4%	8.5%	12.1%

Lille - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: Lille will win (112 of 141 users predict this - 79.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.76% – 86.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Lille has a good chance of round of 32 (78%), has a chance of round of 16 (43%), has a chance of qtrs (22%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Celtic has a chance of round of 32 (24%), has a small chance of round of 16 (11%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lille in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Celtic is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lille is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
25.10.20	Nice - Lille	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Sparta Prague - Lille	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.20	Lille - Lens	4:0 ✺
04.10.20	Strasbourg - Lille	0:3 ✺
25.09.20	Lille - Nantes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWW
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
25.10.20	Aberdeen - Celtic	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Celtic - Milan	1:3 ✺
Scottish Premier League
17.10.20	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	0:2 ✺
04.10.20	St. Johnstone - Celtic	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Sarajevo - Celtic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLWW

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