Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Sparta Prague		Lille

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.83
	4.4	3.7	1.8
	4.7	3.75	1.75
	4.5	3.55	1.77
	4.57	3.74	1.82
	4.5	3.6	1.78
	4.55	3.82	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.84)	3.68 ↑ (3.51)	1.8 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
21.1%

Draw
25.9%

Lille
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

27%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

21.1%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.6%	13.4%	75%

Sparta Prague - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 112 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 13 - 11.6%). Lille will win (votes: 84 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 13.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 67% – 83%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Sparta Prague has a small chance of round of 32 (15%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (5%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lille has a good chance of round of 32 (62%), has a chance of round of 16 (34%), has a chance of qtrs (18%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lille is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
03.10.20	Sparta Prague - Jablonec	2:1 ✺
Czech Cup
30.09.20	Sparta Prague - Blansko	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
27.09.20	Příbram - Sparta Prague	1:3 ✺
20.09.20	Sparta Prague - Zlín	3:1 ✺
13.09.20	Karviná - Sparta Prague	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
18.10.20	Lille - Lens	4:0 ✺
04.10.20	Strasbourg - Lille	0:3 ✺
25.09.20	Lille - Nantes	2:0 ✺
20.09.20	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:1 ✺
13.09.20	Lille - Metz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTW

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