Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport OTT 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Brazil	17:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4, New World TV
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 18
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Lille		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.9
	2.3	3.6	2.9
	2.4	3.55	2.95	Watch
	2.4	3.7	3.03
	2.41	3.47	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.9
	2.43	3.58	2.95
	2.4	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.87)	3.56 ↓ (3.72)	2.95 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
40.5%

Draw
27%

Feyenoord
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.

Feyenoord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Feyenoord's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feyenoord, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
49%	23.5%	27.5%

Lille - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 25 - 49%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 14 - 27.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 35.3% – 62.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Chevalier L. (G) 12. Meunier T. 4. Alexsandro 18. Diakite B. (C) 20. Bakker M. 32. Bouaddi A. 17. Mukau N. 10. Cabella R. 8. Gomes A. 11. Sahraoui O. 27. Bayo M.	1. Bijlow J. (G) 2. Nieuwkoop B. 18. Trauner G. 33. Hancko D. (C) 5. Smal G. 4. Hwang In-Beom 3. Beelen T. 27. Milambo A. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 29. Gimenez S. 14. Paixao I.
Substitutes
16. Caillard M. (G) 35. Cossier I. 9. David J. 5. Gudmundsson G. 7. Haraldsson H. 47. Lachaab Y. 1. Mannone V. (G) 29. Mbappe E.	16. Bueno H. 19. Carranza J. 15. Gonzalez F. 17. Ivanusec L. 64. Ka I. (G) 20. Mitchell J. 38. Osman I. 9. Ueda A. 22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 24. Zechiel G.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Priske B.

Preview

Recent matches Lille is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Feyenoord is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Lille have a series of guest games.

Lille will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lille: Andre B. (Yellow Cards) Bentaleb N. (Heart Problems) Fernandez-Pardo M. (Ankle Injury) Ismaily (Calf Injury) Mandi A. (Red Card) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Hartman Q. (Knee Injury) Hwang In-Beom (Injury) Lotomba J. (Broken Leg) Timber Q. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Stengs C. (Muscle Injury) Zechiel G. (Injury) Zerrouki R. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
25.01.25	Strasbourg - Lille	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Liverpool - Lille	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.01.25	Lille - Nice	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
14.01.25	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
10.01.25	Auxerre - Lille	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWT
- Feyenoord
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Feyenoord - Bayern Munich	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.01.25	Willem II - Feyenoord	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.25	Rijnsburgse Boys - Feyenoord	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.01.25	Feyenoord - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Feyenoord	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Bodø Glimt - Lille	✺
French Ligue 1
30.10.26	Lille - Lens	✺
- Feyenoord
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Feyenoord - Inter Milan	✺
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.26	Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard	✺

Lille - Feyenoord