Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Anfield (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	FOX Sports 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	ESPN Premium
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Universal
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	01:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	22:00	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	14:00	Cinemax, HBO Max, MAX
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	SportsMax Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, SportsMax App


	Liverpool		Lille

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	10
	1.27	6	10.5
	1.26	6.3	11.5	Watch
	1.29	6.2	10.79
	1.27	6.1	11.61	Watch
	1.25	5.8	10
	1.3	6.35	10.8
	1.26	6.3	11.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	6.13 ↑ (6.01)	10.84 ↑ (9.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
75.5%

Draw
15.7%

Lille
8.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.9%

16%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

16%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	8.9%	7.1%

Liverpool - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (47 of 56 users predict this - 83.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.31% – 93.55%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 84. Bradley C. 78. Quansah J. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 21. Tsimikas K. 8. Szoboszlai D. 38. Gravenberch R. 17. Jones C. 11. Salah M. 9. Nunez D. 7. Diaz L.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 2. Mandi A. 18. Diakite B. 4. Alexsandro 5. Gudmundsson G. 21. Andre B. (C) 17. Mukau N. 10. Cabella R. 7. Haraldsson H. 20. Bakker M. 9. David J.
Substitutes
66. Alexander-Arnold T. 14. Chiesa F. 76. Danns J. 19. Elliott H. 3. Endo W. 18. Gakpo C. 56. Jaros V. (G) 62. Kelleher C. (G) 5. Konate I. 10. Mac Allister A. 80. Morton T. 26. Robertson A.	27. Bayo M. 32. Bouaddi A. 16. Caillard M. (G) 35. Cossier I. 8. Gomes A. 31. Ismaily 1. Mannone V. (G) 29. Mbappe E. 12. Meunier T. 11. Sahraoui O.
Coaches
Slot A.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Salah M. ⚽, Jones C. (A),
35', Mandi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jones C. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
46', Gravenberch R. ↓, Mac Allister A. ↑,
59', Mandi A. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, David J. ⚽,
63', Szoboszlai D. ↓, Endo W. ↑,
63', Cabella R. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
63', Bakker M. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Elliott H. ⚽,
74', Mukau N. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
74', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Ismaily ↑,
74', Diaz L. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
86', Bradley C. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
88', Andre B. 🟨,
90+3', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
90+4', Elliott H. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Liverpool is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lille is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Liverpool is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Diogo Jota (Muscle Injury) Gomez J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Heart Problems) Fernandez-Pardo M. (Ankle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Lille: Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
18.01.25	Brentford - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Liverpool - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.01.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.01.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTWLT
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
17.01.25	Lille - Nice	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
14.01.25	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
10.01.25	Auxerre - Lille	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Lille - Nantes	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.24	Rouen FC - Lille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTTW

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