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Lille vs Sturm Graz Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, December 11, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN 2, Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app


	Lille		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.25
	1.52	4.2	6.25
	1.52	4.6	6.2
	1.51	4.46	6.8
	1.47	4.66	7.26	Watch
	1.5	4.2	7
	1.56	4.3	6.86
	1.52	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	4.41 ↓ (4.44)	6.64 ↑ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
63.7%

Draw
21.8%

Sturm Graz
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

20.9%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	6.3%	3.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Lille will win (86 of 95 users predict this - 90.53%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.64% – 96.42%.

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Chevalier L. (G) 12. Meunier T. 18. Diakite B. 4. Alexsandro 20. Bakker M. 31. Ismaily 10. Cabella R. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 11. Sahraoui O. 9. David J.	53. Khudyakov D. (G) 2. Johnston M. 35. Geyrhofer N. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 5. Wuthrich G. 24. Lavalee D. 21. Chukwuani T. 10. Kiteishvili O. 8. Yalcouye M. 18. Biereth M. 15. Boving W.
Substitutes
27. Bayo M. 16. Caillard M. (G) 39. Cossier I. 19. Fernandez-Pardo M. 5. Gudmundsson G. 7. Haraldsson H. 2. Mandi A. 1. Mannone V. (G) 17. Mukau N. 36. Toure O.	47. Aiwu E. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 36. Camara A. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 19. Horvat T. 20. Jatta S. 17. Karic E. 23. Malic A. 45. Wiener-Pucher C. (G) 9. Yardimci E. 14. Zvonarek L.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Saumel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Sahraoui O. ⚽, Alexsandro (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Bakker M. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Chukwuani T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 2, Biereth M. ⚽, Boving W. (A),
56', Bouaddi A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
68', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
68', Cabella R. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
74', Bakker M. 🟨,
80', Bakker M. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
80', Sahraoui O. ↓, Bayo M. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Haraldsson H. ⚽, David J. (A),
84', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
85', Boving W. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
87', Johnston M. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
87', Chukwuani T. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,

Preview

Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sturm is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sturm: Gazibegovic J. (Yellow Cards) Scherpen K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lille: Gomes A. (Calf Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Lille to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lille won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
06.12.24	Lille - Brest	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Montpellier - Lille	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Bologna - Lille	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.11.24	Lille - Rennes	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Nice - Lille	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWT
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
07.12.24	Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
30.11.24	Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Sturm Graz - Girona	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.24	Sturm Graz - Austria Klagenfurt	7:0 ✺
09.11.24	Hartberg - Sturm Graz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
14.03.24	Lille - Sturm Graz	1:1
07.03.24	Sturm Graz - Lille	0:3

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