Match Info

Championship - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 5h 40m 📅 Remind Me

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
Iceland	14:00	Viaplay
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Usa	10:00	Paramount+


	Lincoln City		Burnley

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.50	2.45
	2.77	3.41	2.48
	2.84	3.59	2.54
	2.76	3.44	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.55	2.5
	2.77	3.42	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.92)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	2.47 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
34.5%

Draw
27.3%

Burnley
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.6%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

27.9%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lincoln City - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Burnley will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 18th and 22nd in the Relegation - League One).

Recent results have been tough for Lincoln (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Burnley has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Burnley could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Lincoln: Darikwa T. (Knee Injury) Draper F. (Yellow Cards) Elerewe D. (Red Card) Melia M. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Burnley: Ahmedhodzic A. (Knock) Barnes A. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Humphreys B. (Muscle Injury) Mejbri H. (Hamstring Injury) Obafemi M. (Inactive) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury) Sambo S. (Inactive) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Ankle Injury) Banel J. (Muscle Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lincoln has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	9:19	-10	12
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16:21	-5	8

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Burnley: 1.55%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League Championship
17.10.26	Millwall - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
14.10.26	Lincoln City - West Ham United	0:6 ✺
10.10.26	Sheffield United - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Lincoln City - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Bristol City - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLLW
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
16.10.26	Burnley - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Burnley - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Watford - Burnley	0:4 ✺
19.09.26	Burnley - Derby County	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Swansea City - Burnley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
18.02.17	Burnley - Lincoln City	0:1

Lincoln City - Burnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide